Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Casa Pia sit 16th in the table after 30 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Rio Ave are 12th after 31 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Casa Pia have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Rio Ave have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Casa Pia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Rio Ave in 60% away (6/10). Casa Pia average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Rio Ave 0.9 and 1.8 on the road.

Casa Pia frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Rio Ave are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Casa Pia at 70% at home (7/10), Rio Ave at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Casa Pia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Rio Ave in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Casa Pia (16th) and Rio Ave (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65:18 +47 85
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69:22 +47 76
3 Sporting CP 32 23 7 2 82:23 +59 76
4 Sporting Braga 32 16 9 7 60:32 +28 57
5 Famalicão 32 14 10 8 41:29 +12 52
6 Gil Vicente 32 13 11 8 46:32 +14 50
7 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37:47 -10 42
8 Vitória Guimarães 32 12 6 14 39:48 -9 42
9 Estoril 33 10 9 14 53:54 -1 39
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35:51 -16 39
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41:62 -21 36
12 Rio Ave A 32 8 11 13 33:52 -19 35
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30:40 -10 33
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35:43 -8 31
15 Estrela Amadora 32 6 10 16 36:54 -18 28
16 Casa Pia H 32 5 11 16 29:56 -27 26
17 Tondela 32 5 10 17 24:52 -28 25
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27:67 -40 20

Team Form

Rio Ave have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Casa Pia have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Casa Pia frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Rio Ave are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Casa Pia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Rio Ave in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Casa Pia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Rio Ave in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Casa Pia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Rio Ave (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Casa Pia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Rio Ave have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Rio Ave (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
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Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?

Over 8.5 Corners — Casa Pia see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Rio Ave in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Casa Pia or Rio Ave?

Rio Ave hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Casa Pia at home (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave?

Mixed — Casa Pia have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Rio Ave in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave?

Uncertain — Casa Pia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Rio Ave in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Casa Pia or Rio Ave?

Casa Pia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Rio Ave's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave?

Yes — both Casa Pia (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Rio Ave (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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