Mara Sugar vs Mathare United

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 16th May, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mara Sugar average 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Mathare United average 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Mara Sugar have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Mathare United have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Mara Sugar have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Mathare United in 30% away. Mara Sugar average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Mathare United 0.7 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Mara Sugar at 30% in home games (3/10), Mathare United at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Mara Sugar see 8+ in 70% of home games, Mathare United in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mara Sugar have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mathare United in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Mara Sugar (th) and Mathare United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 30 19 7 4 46:19 +27 64
2 Leopards 30 17 7 6 38:23 +15 58
3 Police 30 13 12 5 28:18 +10 51
4 Shabana 30 13 9 8 32:30 +2 48
5 Homeboyz 30 12 11 7 43:31 +12 47
6 Nairobi United 28 13 8 7 40:28 +12 47
7 Tusker 30 12 5 13 24:28 -4 41
8 KCB 30 11 8 11 30:32 -2 41
9 Bandari 30 8 16 6 23:21 +2 40
10 Mara Sugar H 30 9 13 8 28:27 +1 40
11 Murang'a SEAL 30 10 8 12 36:38 -2 38
12 Mathare United A 31 9 8 14 28:33 -5 35
13 Posta Rangers 30 7 12 11 25:37 -12 33
14 APS Bomet 29 8 9 12 30:32 -2 33
15 Ulinzi Stars 30 8 8 14 30:34 -4 32
16 Kariobangi Sharks 30 6 12 12 19:30 -11 30
17 Bidco United 30 4 12 14 17:34 -17 24
18 Sofapaka 30 3 9 18 17:39 -22 18

Team Form

Mara Sugar have won 50% of home games this season, Mathare United 10% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mara Sugar have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Mara Sugar (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mathare United (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Mara Sugar have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mathare United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Mara Sugar (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Mathare United (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Mara Sugar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Mathare United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Mara Sugar (Home Form) Mathare United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.77
Explore all our tips & stats

Mara Sugar vs Mathare United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Mathare United?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mara Sugar have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mathare United in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mara Sugar or Mathare United?

Mara Sugar have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mathare United on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Mara Sugar and Mathare United?

Mixed — Mara Sugar have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Mathare United in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mara Sugar and Mathare United?

Unlikely — Mara Sugar (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mathare United (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mara Sugar or Mathare United?

Mara Sugar have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Mathare United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mara Sugar and Mathare United?

Mara Sugar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Mathare United in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Posta Rangers vs Sofapaka

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Monday 11th May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 11:00 BST

Match Stats

Homeboyz vs Leopards

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

Mara Sugar vs Mathare United

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

Bandari vs APS Bomet

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Murang'a SEAL vs Gor Mahia

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

Police vs Kariobangi Sharks

📍 Premier League, Kenya

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →