Best Teams to Win This Week

Last updated: 06 October 2026 | Weekly Tips

Each week our model scans hundreds of leagues to find the teams most likely to win their next match. The best picks often sit outside the big leagues, in Scandinavian, Baltic and South American football, where one side has a strong record at their own ground and the opponent has struggled to match it.

Every team here is rated on a combined form. For a home pick we take how often the home side has won at home this season and weigh it against the away side's away record. For an away pick we flip it, and the result is a single win percentage. Anything above 75% points to a real edge.

Here are this week's top picks, ranked by win probability.

15 Teams this week
76% Top win rating
1.49 Average odds
6 Oct Last updated
76% 4/4 home
👑 Top Pick of the Week

France U21 to beat Switzerland U21

🇪🇺 Europe Strong · Home Win Odds 1.55 Tue 6 Oct · 18:00 BST

France U21 have won 4 of 4 home games this season, and rate 76% to beat Switzerland U21. At 1.55 the odds look fair.

📊 The Rest of This Week's Teams to Win

2

Colo-Colo to beat Puerto Montt

🇨🇱 Chile · Home · Wed 7 Oct · 00:30 BST
75%
3/4 home wins 1.20

Colo-Colo have won 3 of 4 home games this season, and rate 75% to beat Puerto Montt. At 1.20 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

3

Bradford Park Avenue to beat Lincoln United

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 BST
★ Value
73%
3/5 home wins 1.72

Bradford Park Avenue carry a 73% win rating against Lincoln United, off 3 wins from 5 home games. At 1.72 the odds look fair.

4

Bootle FC to beat 1874 Northwich

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 BST
70%
4/4 home wins 1.25

Bootle FC carry a 70% win rating against 1874 Northwich, off 4 wins from 4 home games. At 1.25 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

5

Fluminense to beat Coritiba

🇧🇷 Brazil · Home · Fri 9 Oct · 01:30 BST
66%
10/14 home wins 1.48

Fluminense carry a 66% win rating against Coritiba, off 10 wins from 14 home games. At 1.48 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

6

Bishop's Cleeve to beat Worcester Raiders

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 BST
66%
3/4 home wins 1.60

Bishop's Cleeve carry a 66% win rating against Worcester Raiders, off 3 wins from 4 home games. At 1.60 the odds look fair.

7

Gainsborough Trinity to beat Whitby Town

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Away · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 BST
66%
2/4 away wins 1.85

Gainsborough Trinity carry a 66% win rating against Whitby Town, off 2 wins from 4 away games. At 1.85 the odds look fair.

8

Guangxi Hengchen to beat Foshan Nashi FC

🇨🇳 China · Away · Wed 7 Oct · 12:30 BST
65%
6/12 away wins 1.50

Guangxi Hengchen carry a 65% win rating against Foshan Nashi FC, off 6 wins from 12 away games. At 1.50 the odds look fair.

9

Shamrock Rovers to beat Drogheda United

🇮🇪 Republic of Ireland · Home · Thu 8 Oct · 20:00 BST
64%
11/15 home wins 1.40

Shamrock Rovers edge the model at 64% against Drogheda United (11 from 15 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.40 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

10

Nantong Zhiyun to beat Shanghai Jiading Huilong

🇨🇳 China · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 12:30 BST
62%
9/12 home wins 1.44

Nantong Zhiyun edge the model at 62% against Shanghai Jiading Huilong (9 from 12 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.44 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

11

Slovakia U21 to beat Andorra U21

🇪🇺 Europe · Away · Tue 6 Oct · 18:00 BST
62%
2/4 away wins 1.27

Slovakia U21 edge the model at 62% against Andorra U21 (2 from 4 away). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.27 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

12

Portugal U21 to beat Czech Republic U21

🇪🇺 Europe · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 17:30 BST
61%
4/4 home wins 1.38

Portugal U21 edge the model at 61% against Czech Republic U21 (4 from 4 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.38 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

13

Atlético Nacional to beat Deportes Tolima

🇨🇴 Colombia · Home · Thu 8 Oct · 02:20 BST
60%
14/16 home wins 1.66

Atlético Nacional edge the model at 60% against Deportes Tolima (14 from 16 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.66 the odds look fair.

14

Palmeiras to beat Bahia

🇧🇷 Brazil · Home · Fri 9 Oct · 01:30 BST
59%
9/13 home wins 1.57

Palmeiras edge the model at 59% against Bahia (9 from 13 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.57 the odds look fair.

15

Cleethorpes Town to beat Hyde United

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England · Home · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 BST
59%
3/5 home wins 1.53

Cleethorpes Town edge the model at 59% against Hyde United (3 from 5 home). This one is tighter than the picks above. At 1.53 the odds look fair.

💡 How to Use This Data

Each team's win rating blends their own venue form with the opponent's recent results. Home picks use the home team's home record against the away team's away record, and away picks flip it. A rating above 75% is a strong edge, though nothing here is guaranteed.

For the full team-by-team breakdown, explore our home win and away win stats pages, covering hundreds of leagues.

🔗 More Stats & Tips

Please gamble responsibly. All tips are based on statistical analysis and are not guarantees of outcome. Always bet within your means. For help with gambling-related issues, visit BeGambleAware.org.

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Skjetten vs Kongsvinger II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 5, Norway Skjetten have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Kongsvinger II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    86% combined
  • Cleethorpes Town vs Hyde United 19:45 BST | Non League Premier: Northern, England Cleethorpes Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 home matches this season · Hyde United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    80% combined
  • AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge 19:45 BST | Non League Premier: Northern, England AFC Emley have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Bamber Bridge have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    80% combined
  • Olimpia Res. vs Nacional Asunción Res. 12:00 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/17 home matches this season · Nacional Asunción Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/17 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.88
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