Best Teams to Win This Week

Last updated: 17 June 2026 | Weekly Tips

Each week our model scans hundreds of leagues to find the teams most likely to win their next match. The best picks often sit outside the big leagues, in Scandinavian, Baltic and South American football, where one side has a strong record at their own ground and the opponent has struggled to match it.

Every team here is rated on a combined form metric. For a home pick we take how often the home side has won at home this season and weigh it against the away side's away record. For an away pick we flip it, and the result is a single win percentage. Anything above 75% points to a real edge.

Here are this week's top picks, ranked by win probability.

15 Teams this week
95% Top win rating
1.70 Average odds
17 Jun Last updated
95% 4/4 home
👑 Top Pick of the Week

Edgewater Castle W to beat Rally Madison

🇺🇸 United States Elite · Home Win Odds 1.50 Wed 17 Jun

Edgewater Castle W have won 4 of their 4 home games this season. The model makes them 95% to beat Rally Madison. At 1.50 the odds look fair.

📊 The Rest of This Week's Teams to Win

2

Víkingur Reykjavík to beat KR Reykjavík

🇮🇸 Iceland · Home · Tue 16 Jun
73%
4/5 home wins 1.45

Víkingur Reykjavík carry a 73% win rating against KR Reykjavík, off 4 wins from 5 home games. At 1.45 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

3

Flora to beat Vaprus

🇪🇪 Estonia · Away · Tue 16 Jun
65%
4/7 away wins 1.40

Flora carry a 65% win rating against Vaprus, off 4 wins from 7 away games. At 1.40 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

4

Oulu to beat Mariehamn

🇫🇮 Finland · Home · Thu 18 Jun
63%
4/4 home wins 1.38

Oulu edge the model at 63% against Mariehamn (4 from 4 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.38 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

5

Gimnasia Jujuy to beat Nueva Chicago

🇦🇷 Argentina · Home · Wed 17 Jun
61%
7/8 home wins 1.66

Gimnasia Jujuy edge the model at 61% against Nueva Chicago (7 from 8 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.66 the odds look fair.

6

Auda to beat Tukums

🇱🇻 Latvia · Away · Wed 17 Jun
58%
6/8 away wins 1.48

Auda edge the model at 58% against Tukums (6 from 8 away). Closer than the picks above. At 1.48 the price is short, so use it as an acca leg.

7

Ilves to beat Jaro

🇫🇮 Finland · Home · Wed 17 Jun
56%
3/5 home wins 1.67

Ilves edge the model at 56% against Jaro (3 from 5 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.67 the odds look fair.

8

Indy Eleven to beat Brooklyn FC

🇺🇸 United States · Home · Thu 18 Jun
55%
5/6 home wins 1.62

Indy Eleven edge the model at 55% against Brooklyn FC (5 from 6 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.62 the odds look fair.

9

Britannia to beat La Fama

🌍 Aruba · Away · Wed 17 Jun
51%
9/11 away wins 1.90

Britannia edge the model at 51% against La Fama (9 from 11 away). Closer than the picks above. At 1.90 the odds look fair.

10

Fortaleza to beat América Mineiro

🇧🇷 Brazil · Home · Wed 17 Jun
50%
4/5 home wins 1.60

Fortaleza edge the model at 50% against América Mineiro (4 from 5 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.60 the odds look fair.

11

HJK to beat Inter Turku

🇫🇮 Finland · Home · Wed 17 Jun
47%
3/5 home wins 2.50

HJK edge the model at 47% against Inter Turku (3 from 5 home). Closer than the picks above. At 2.50 the price gives you real value.

12

Palmeiras U20 to beat Criciuma U20

🇧🇷 Brazil · Away · Tue 16 Jun
47%
7/7 away wins 1.73

Palmeiras U20 edge the model at 47% against Criciuma U20 (7 from 7 away). Closer than the picks above. At 1.73 the odds look fair.

13

Riga to beat Rīgas FS

🇱🇻 Latvia · Home · Wed 17 Jun
46%
6/8 home wins 2.25

Riga edge the model at 46% against Rīgas FS (6 from 8 home). Closer than the picks above. At 2.25 the price gives you real value.

14

SexyPöxyt to beat LoPa

🇫🇮 Finland · Home · Tue 16 Jun
44%
4/4 home wins 1.57

SexyPöxyt edge the model at 44% against LoPa (4 from 4 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.57 the odds look fair.

15

Metso to beat Jyväskylä Blackbird

🇫🇮 Finland · Home · Tue 16 Jun
42%
4/4 home wins 1.83

Metso edge the model at 42% against Jyväskylä Blackbird (4 from 4 home). Closer than the picks above. At 1.83 the odds look fair.

💡 How to Use This Data

Each team's win rating blends their own venue form with the opponent's recent results. Home picks use the home team's home record against the away team's away record, and away picks flip it. A rating above 75% points to a strong edge, though nothing here is guaranteed.

For the full team-by-team breakdown, explore our home win and away win stats pages, covering hundreds of leagues.

🔗 More Stats & Tips

Please gamble responsibly. All tips are based on statistical analysis and are not guarantees of outcome. Always bet within your means. For help with gambling-related issues, visit BeGambleAware.org.

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Talleres Córdoba Res. vs Racing Club Res. 19:00 BST | Reserve League, Argentina Talleres Córdoba Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 home matches this season · Racing Club Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    69% combined
  • Riga vs Rīgas FS 17:00 BST | Virsliga, Latvia Riga have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Rīgas FS have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    65% combined
  • Fortaleza vs América Mineiro 00:00 BST | Serie B, Brazil Fortaleza have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · América Mineiro have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.1
    65% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.14
Explore all our tips & stats

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)