Tercera - Group 4 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 26th April, 15:30 BST

Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad III Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aretxabaleta Home · 10th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Real Sociedad III Away · 9th 4W 1D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aretxabaleta 45% Draw 25% Real Sociedad III 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad III Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
45% Aretxabaleta win 25% Draw 30% Real Sociedad III win 58% BTTS 55% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Under 3.5 Goals

Aretxabaleta sit 10th in the table after 29 games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match this season. Real Sociedad III are 9th after 29 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Aretxabaleta have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Real Sociedad III side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home fixtures this season (10/10), and Real Sociedad III in 80% of away games (8/10). Aretxabaleta average 2.6 scored and 2 conceded at home; Real Sociedad III 1.5 and 1.8 on the road.

Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%, 10/10). Real Sociedad III are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Aretxabaleta see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Aretxabaleta (10th) and Real Sociedad III (9th) sit in the Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 Real Sociedad III A 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
10 Aretxabaleta H 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
View the full Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 +41 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 +16 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 +20 57
5 Touring 34 16 9 9 47:35 +12 57
6 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 +10 55
7 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 16 7 11 42:40 +2 55
8 Real Sociedad III A 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
9 Deportivo Alavés III 34 14 9 11 56:40 +16 51
10 Aretxabaleta H 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
11 Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 -13 39
13 Añorga 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
14 Eibar III 34 9 9 16 44:53 -9 36
15 Pasaia KE 34 8 10 16 23:46 -23 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 8 6 20 30:60 -30 30
18 Deusto 33 6 7 20 24:46 -22 25

Team Form

Aretxabaleta hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Real Sociedad III have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%), while Real Sociedad III are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of Aretxabaleta's home games and 80% of Real Sociedad III's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Aretxabaleta have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Real Sociedad III in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aretxabaleta 2.6 scored · 2 conceded per home game Real Sociedad III 1.5 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Aretxabaleta 26 scored / 20 conceded at home · Real Sociedad III 15 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Aretxabaleta (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Aretxabaleta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Real Sociedad III have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Real Sociedad III — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Logan Roos vs North Lakes United 06:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia Logan Roos have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · North Lakes United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    100% combined
  • Strømsgodset II vs Harstad 13:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 5, Norway Strømsgodset II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Harstad have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    100% combined
  • North Pine vs Yeronga Eagles 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Yeronga Eagles have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    94% combined
  • Langwarrin vs Manningham United Blues 06:00 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Langwarrin have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    93% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.7
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Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad III Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad III?

Over 2.5 Goals — Aretxabaleta have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home games, Real Sociedad III in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Aretxabaleta or Real Sociedad III?

Aretxabaleta hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 4 this season, while Real Sociedad III have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aretxabaleta and Real Sociedad III?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%), while Real Sociedad III are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aretxabaleta and Real Sociedad III?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of Aretxabaleta's home games and 80% of Real Sociedad III's away games in Tercera - Group 4. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aretxabaleta or Real Sociedad III?

Aretxabaleta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Real Sociedad III's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aretxabaleta and Real Sociedad III?

Unlikely — Aretxabaleta (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Sociedad III (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 4.

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