World Cup · World 🕒 Sunday 28th June, 00:30 BST

Colombia vs Portugal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia Home 6W 2D 0L last 8 home
VS
Portugal Away 5W 2D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Colombia 30% Draw 24% Portugal 47%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Colombia vs Portugal Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Colombia see 2+ goals in 87.5% of home games, Portugal in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
30% Colombia win 24% Draw 47% Portugal win 61% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Colombia average 2.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Portugal average 1.7 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Colombia have the stronger home record this season (6/8, 75%) against a Portugal side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Colombia have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 88% of their home fixtures (7/8). Portugal are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1 conceded away from home.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Colombia have seen BTTS in only 38% of home games (3/8); Portugal in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Portugal are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Colombia are lower at home (0%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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Team Form

Colombia hold a clear edge in home form this season (75% wins), while Portugal have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Won
H
6/8 (75%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
2/8 (25%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Colombia (37.5% BTTS at home) and Portugal (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 61% · BTTS No 39%

Match Goals

Colombia frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 87.5%), while Portugal are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/8 (62.5%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Colombia have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Portugal in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Colombia 2.63 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Portugal 1.7 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/8 (87.5%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/8 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/8 (25%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/8 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/8 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Colombia 21 scored / 4 conceded at home · Portugal 17 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Portugal frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Colombia are lower at home (12.5%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Colombia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Portugal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Colombia — last 8 home A Portugal — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/8 (25%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/8 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/8 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Colombia vs Portugal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Colombia 3.5 Model: 30%
Draw 3.25 Model: 24%
Portugal 2.1 Model: 47%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.91 Model: 61%
No 1.91 Model: 39%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 81%
Value Over 2.5 1.92 Model: 59%
Value Over 3.5 3.45 Model: 37%
Under 1.5 2.93 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 1.66 Model: 41%
Under 3.5 1.25 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Colombia 4
Draw 2.1
Portugal 2.75

Double Chance

Colombia or Draw 1.7 Model: 53%
Colombia or Portugal 1.33 Model: 76%
Draw or Portugal 1.28 Model: 70%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 67%
Value Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 35%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 79%
Value Over 1.5 2.2 Model: 49%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Colombia vs Portugal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Colombia vs Portugal?

Over 1.5 Goals — Colombia see 2+ goals in 87.5% of home games, Portugal in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Colombia or Portugal?

Colombia have a slight form edge at home (75% wins) over Portugal on the road (50% wins) in World Cup. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Colombia and Portugal?

Unlikely — Colombia (37.5% BTTS at home) and Portugal (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in World Cup. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Colombia and Portugal?

Possibly — Colombia frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 87.5%), while Portugal are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Colombia or Portugal?

Colombia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Portugal's 40% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Colombia and Portugal?

Possibly — Portugal frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Colombia are lower at home (12.5%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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