Premier League · Wales 🕒 Saturday 29th November, 14:30 GMT

Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Colwyn Bay Home · 5th 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
Penybont Away · 2nd 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Colwyn Bay 41% Draw 24% Penybont 34%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Colwyn Bay have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Penybont in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
41% Colwyn Bay win 24% Draw 34% Penybont win 58% BTTS 57% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals 65% Under 3.5 Goals

Colwyn Bay sit 5th in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Penybont are 2nd after 16 games, averaging 1 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. Colwyn Bay have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Penybont have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Colwyn Bay have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Penybont are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1 scored and 2.4 conceded away from home.

Colwyn Bay frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Penybont are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Colwyn Bay see 8+ in 70% of home games, Penybont in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Colwyn Bay (5th) and Penybont (2nd) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Colwyn Bay H 33 12 10 11 41:37 +4 46
8 Penybont A 34 12 9 13 41:49 -8 45
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 34 14 7 13 49:46 +3 49
4 Barry Town United 33 12 11 10 44:34 +10 47
5 Colwyn Bay H 33 12 10 11 41:37 +4 46
6 Caernarfon Town 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont A 34 12 9 13 41:49 -8 45
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

Penybont have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Colwyn Bay have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Colwyn Bay frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Penybont are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Colwyn Bay frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Colwyn Bay have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Penybont in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Colwyn Bay 1.8 scored · 1.9 conceded per home game Penybont 1 scored · 2.4 conceded per away game
H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: Colwyn Bay 18 scored / 19 conceded at home · Penybont 10 scored / 24 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Colwyn Bay (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Penybont (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Colwyn Bay have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Penybont have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Colwyn Bay — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Colwyn Bay and Penybont. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Sep, 2025
Penybont
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Colwyn Bay
Corners 5–4 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Mar, 2024
Penybont
5 – 0 HT: 1-0
Colwyn Bay
Corners 9–0 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2024
Colwyn Bay
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Penybont
Corners 4–2 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Nov, 2023
Colwyn Bay
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Penybont
Corners 6–7 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 1 more meeting
9th Sep, 2023
Penybont
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Colwyn Bay
Corners 5–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Colwyn Bay 2.93 Model: 41%
Draw 3.6 Model: 24%
Penybont 2.25 Model: 34%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.85 Model: 58%
No 2.1 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.36 Model: 80%
Value Over 2.5 2.04 Model: 57%
Value Over 3.5 3.75 Model: 35%
Under 1.5 3.56 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 1.8 Model: 43%
Under 3.5 1.33 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.92

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.5 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 2.31 Model: 37%
Over 11.5 2.45 Model: 28%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Colwyn Bay 3.66 Model: 35%
Draw 2.18 Model: 38%
Penybont 2.95 Model: 27%

Double Chance

Value Colwyn Bay or Draw 1.66 Model: 66%
Colwyn Bay or Penybont 1.3 Model: 76%
Draw or Penybont 1.41 Model: 59%

Colwyn Bay Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.37 Model: 75%
Value Over 1.5 2.75 Model: 44%

Penybont Goals

Over 0.5 1.27 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 2.32 Model: 38%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Logan Roos vs North Lakes United 06:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia Logan Roos have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · North Lakes United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    100% combined
  • Strømsgodset II vs Harstad 13:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 5, Norway Strømsgodset II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Harstad have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    100% combined
  • North Pine vs Yeronga Eagles 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Yeronga Eagles have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    94% combined
  • Langwarrin vs Manningham United Blues 06:00 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Langwarrin have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    93% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.7
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Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?

Over 2.5 Goals — Colwyn Bay have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Penybont in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Colwyn Bay or Penybont?

Colwyn Bay have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Penybont on the road (20% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Colwyn Bay and Penybont?

Possibly — Colwyn Bay frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Colwyn Bay and Penybont?

Possibly — Colwyn Bay frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Colwyn Bay or Penybont?

Colwyn Bay have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Penybont's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Colwyn Bay and Penybont?

Colwyn Bay have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Penybont in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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