Super Lig · Turkey 🕒 Saturday 6th December, 17:00 GMT

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

İstanbul Başakşehir Home · 9th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Fenerbahçe Away · 2nd 6W 1D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
İstanbul Başakşehir 21% Draw 24% Fenerbahçe 54%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

İstanbul Başakşehir have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
21% İstanbul Başakşehir win 24% Draw 54% Fenerbahçe win 53% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 69% Under 3.5 Goals

İstanbul Başakşehir sit 9th in the table after 12 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Fenerbahçe are 2nd after 12 games, averaging 2 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — İstanbul Başakşehir have won 60% of home games, Fenerbahçe 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Goals look likely from both ends. İstanbul Başakşehir have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Fenerbahçe in 70% of away games (7/10). İstanbul Başakşehir average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home; Fenerbahçe 2 and 1.1 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — İstanbul Başakşehir at 50% in home games (5/10), Fenerbahçe at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — İstanbul Başakşehir see 8+ in 60% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 100% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where İstanbul Başakşehir (9th) and Fenerbahçe (2nd) sit in the Super Lig table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Fenerbahçe A 34 21 11 2 77:37 +40 74
5 İstanbul Başakşehir H 34 16 9 9 58:35 +23 57
View the full Super Lig 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77:30 +47 77
2 Fenerbahçe A 34 21 11 2 77:37 +40 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 61:39 +22 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 59:40 +19 60
5 İstanbul Başakşehir H 34 16 9 9 58:35 +23 57
6 Göztepe 34 14 13 7 42:32 +10 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 46:45 +1 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
10 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
11 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
12 Gaziantep F.K. 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
13 Kasımpaşa 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
14 Gençlerbirliği 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
15 Eyüpspor 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
17 Fatih Karagümrük 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
18 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30

Team Form

İstanbul Başakşehir (60% home wins) and Fenerbahçe (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

İstanbul Başakşehir have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of İstanbul Başakşehir's home games and 70% of Fenerbahçe's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — İstanbul Başakşehir have scored 1+ in 90% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 70% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

İstanbul Başakşehir 2.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Fenerbahçe 2 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: İstanbul Başakşehir 22 scored / 11 conceded at home · Fenerbahçe 20 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Fenerbahçe frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while İstanbul Başakşehir are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

İstanbul Başakşehir have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Fenerbahçe have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H İstanbul Başakşehir — last 10 home A Fenerbahçe — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between İstanbul Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th May, 2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
1 – 4 HT: 0-1
Fenerbahçe
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Dec, 2024
Fenerbahçe
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
İstanbul Başakşehir
Corners 14–0 Cards 1–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Jan, 2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Fenerbahçe
Corners 1–7 Cards 11–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Sep, 2023
Fenerbahçe
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
İstanbul Başakşehir
Corners 14–2 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
11th Jun, 2023
Fenerbahçe
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
İstanbul Başakşehir
Corners 6–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Apr, 2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Fenerbahçe
Corners 5–4 Cards 11–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Oct, 2022
Fenerbahçe
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
İstanbul Başakşehir
Corners 6–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Feb, 2022
Fenerbahçe
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
İstanbul Başakşehir
Corners 1–6 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Sep, 2021
İstanbul Başakşehir
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fenerbahçe
Corners 1–6 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Apr, 2021
İstanbul Başakşehir
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Fenerbahçe
Corners 1–6 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

İstanbul Başakşehir 4.21 Model: 21%
Draw 3.69 Model: 24%
Fenerbahçe 1.9 Model: 54%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.65 Model: 53%
Value No 2.32 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.74 Model: 53%
Over 3.5 2.76 Model: 31%
Under 1.5 4.48 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 2.19 Model: 47%
Under 3.5 1.47 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.47

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.56 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 1.92 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.43 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

İstanbul Başakşehir 4.5 Model: 21%
Draw 2.3 Model: 37%
Fenerbahçe 2.2 Model: 42%

Double Chance

İstanbul Başakşehir or Draw 1.95 Model: 46%
İstanbul Başakşehir or Fenerbahçe 1.28 Model: 76%
Draw or Fenerbahçe 1.26 Model: 79%

İstanbul Başakşehir Goals

Over 0.5 1.41 Model: 57%
Over 1.5 2.9 Model: 25%

Fenerbahçe Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 1.83 Model: 52%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Logan Roos vs North Lakes United 06:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia Logan Roos have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · North Lakes United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    100% combined
  • North Pine vs Yeronga Eagles 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Yeronga Eagles have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    94% combined
  • Langwarrin vs Manningham United Blues 06:00 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Langwarrin have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    93% combined
  • MetroStars Res. vs Sturt Lions Res. 06:00 BST | South Australia Reserves Premier League, Australia MetroStars Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Sturt Lions Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.76
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İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe?

Over 2.5 Goals — İstanbul Başakşehir have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, İstanbul Başakşehir or Fenerbahçe?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — İstanbul Başakşehir have won 60% of home games, Fenerbahçe 60% away in Super Lig. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between İstanbul Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe?

Mixed — İstanbul Başakşehir have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Fenerbahçe in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Super Lig fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between İstanbul Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of İstanbul Başakşehir's home games and 70% of Fenerbahçe's away games in Super Lig. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: İstanbul Başakşehir or Fenerbahçe?

Fenerbahçe have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to İstanbul Başakşehir's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between İstanbul Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe?

Possibly — Fenerbahçe frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while İstanbul Başakşehir are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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