La Liga 2 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 7th June, 20:00 BST

Las Palmas vs Málaga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Las Palmas Home · 1st 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Málaga Away · 2nd 6W 2D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Las Palmas 41% Draw 27% Málaga 32%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Las Palmas vs Málaga Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Las Palmas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Málaga in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
41% Las Palmas win 27% Draw 32% Málaga win 54% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Under 3.5 Goals

Las Palmas sit 1st in the table after 42 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Málaga are 2nd after 42 games, averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Las Palmas have won 60% of home games, Málaga 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Las Palmas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Málaga in 60% away (6/10). Las Palmas average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Málaga 2.2 and 1.2 on the road.

Málaga regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Las Palmas are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Las Palmas see 8+ in 70% of home games, Málaga in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Las Palmas (1st) and Málaga (2nd) sit in the La Liga 2 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Málaga A 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
5 Las Palmas H 44 20 14 10 58:42 +16 74
View the full La Liga 2 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 +29 82
2 Almería 44 23 9 12 85:66 +19 78
3 Málaga A 44 22 11 11 77:53 +24 77
4 Deportivo La Coruña 42 22 11 9 65:44 +21 77
5 Las Palmas H 44 20 14 10 58:42 +16 74
6 Castellón 44 20 13 11 73:55 +18 73
7 Burgos 42 20 12 10 48:33 +15 72
8 SD Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 +12 67
9 Sporting Gijón 42 18 7 17 60:54 +6 61
10 Córdoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
11 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 +1 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 +8 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
15 Real Sociedad II 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
16 Leganés 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
17 Real Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
18 Cádiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
19 Mirandés 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36

Team Form

Las Palmas (60% home wins) and Málaga (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Málaga regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Las Palmas are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Las Palmas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Málaga in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Las Palmas have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Málaga in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Las Palmas 1.5 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Málaga 2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Las Palmas 15 scored / 5 conceded at home · Málaga 22 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Las Palmas (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Málaga (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Las Palmas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Málaga have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Las Palmas — last 10 home A Málaga — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Las Palmas and Málaga. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Apr 2026
Málaga
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Las Palmas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Aug 2025
Las Palmas
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Málaga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Mar 2023
Las Palmas
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Málaga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Aug 2022
Málaga
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Las Palmas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
29 Apr 2022
Las Palmas
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Málaga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Nov 2021
Málaga
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Las Palmas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Apr 2021
Las Palmas
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Málaga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Oct 2020
Málaga
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Las Palmas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Feb 2020
Las Palmas
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Málaga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Aug 2019
Málaga
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Las Palmas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Las Palmas vs Málaga across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Las Palmas 2.28 Model: 41%
Draw 3.2 Model: 27%
Value Málaga 3.6 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.91 Model: 54%
No 2.04 Model: 46%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.42 Model: 74%
Value Over 2.5 2.2 Model: 50%
Value Over 3.5 4.22 Model: 27%
Under 1.5 3.3 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 1.65 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.8 Model: 57%
Value Over 9.5 2.37 Model: 45%
Value Over 10.5 3.25 Model: 33%
Over 11.5 4.5 Model: 24%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Las Palmas 2.87 Model: 36%
Draw 2.1 Model: 43%
Málaga 3.75 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Las Palmas or Draw 1.3 Model: 68%
Las Palmas or Málaga 1.36 Model: 73%
Draw or Málaga 1.61 Model: 59%

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.37 Model: 40%

Málaga Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 67%
Value Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 33%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Logan Roos vs North Lakes United 06:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia Logan Roos have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · North Lakes United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    100% combined
  • Strømsgodset II vs Harstad 13:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 5, Norway Strømsgodset II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Harstad have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    100% combined
  • North Pine vs Yeronga Eagles 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Yeronga Eagles have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    94% combined
  • Langwarrin vs Manningham United Blues 06:00 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Langwarrin have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    93% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.7
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Las Palmas vs Málaga Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Málaga?

Over 1.5 Goals — Las Palmas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Málaga in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Las Palmas or Málaga?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Las Palmas have won 60% of home games, Málaga 60% away in La Liga 2. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Las Palmas and Málaga?

Mixed — Las Palmas have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Málaga in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this La Liga 2 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Las Palmas and Málaga?

Uncertain — Las Palmas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Málaga in 60% of away games in La Liga 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Las Palmas or Málaga?

Málaga have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Las Palmas's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Las Palmas and Málaga?

Las Palmas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Málaga in 30% of away games in La Liga 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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