Champions League · Europe 🕒 Wednesday 22nd July, 01:00 BST

AGF vs Lech Poznań Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

AGF Home 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Lech Poznań Away 8W 1D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
AGF 46% Draw 26% Lech Poznań 29%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

AGF vs Lech Poznań Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
46% AGF win 26% Draw 29% Lech Poznań win 53% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

AGF average 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Lech Poznań average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded in away fixtures. AGF have won 6/10 home games (60%) this season; Lech Poznań have won 8/10 on the road (80%). There's no dominant edge either way.

AGF have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Lech Poznań in 50% away (5/10). AGF average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Lech Poznań 1.5 and 0.6 on the road.

AGF frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Lech Poznań are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 90% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. AGF see 8+ in 60% of home games, Lech Poznań in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where AGF and Lech Poznań sit in the Champions League table for the 2026/2027 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
19 AGF H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 Lech Poznań A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
View the full Champions League 2026/2027 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 1 1 0 0 3:1 +2 3
2 Ararat-Armenia 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
3 Sabah 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
4 KuPS 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
5 Kauno Žalgiris 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
6 Drita 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
7 ML Vitebsk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
8 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
9 Győri ETO 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
10 Víkingur Reykjavík 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
11 Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
12 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
13 Kairat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 Sutjeska 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
15 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
16 Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
17 FC Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
18 Flora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
19 AGF H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 Lech Poznań A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
21 Petrocub 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
22 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
23 Shamrock Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
24 Floriana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
25 KÍ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
26 Atert Bissen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
27 Fenerbahçe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
28 Górnik Zabrze 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
29 Sturm Graz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
30 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
31 Larne 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
32 Tre Fiori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
33 Inter Club d'Escaldes 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
34 Riga 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
35 The New Saints 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
36 Vardar 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0

Team Form

AGF have won 60% of home games this season, Lech Poznań 80% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AGF frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Lech Poznań are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

AGF have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

AGF have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Lech Poznań in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

AGF 2.1 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Lech Poznań 1.5 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game
H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: AGF 21 scored / 9 conceded at home · Lech Poznań 15 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Both AGF (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Lech Poznań (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

AGF have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lech Poznań have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H AGF: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AGF vs Lech Poznań across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

AGF 2.29 Model: 46%
Draw 3.25 Model: 26%
Lech Poznań 3.02 Model: 29%

AGF vs Lech Poznań Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AGF vs Lech Poznań?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, AGF or Lech Poznań?

Lech Poznań hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over AGF at home (60% wins) in Champions League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between AGF and Lech Poznań?

Mixed. AGF have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Champions League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AGF and Lech Poznań?

Uncertain. AGF have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games in Champions League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AGF or Lech Poznań?

AGF have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Lech Poznań's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AGF and Lech Poznań?

AGF have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games in Champions League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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