Primera B Nacional · Argentina 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 19:30 BST

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Almagro Home 5W 1D 4L last 10 home

VS

Atlético Rafaela Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Almagro 41% Draw 34% Atlético Rafaela 25%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Almagro have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Rafaela in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says

41% Almagro win 34% Draw 25% Atlético Rafaela win 36% BTTS 27% Over 2.5 Goals 0-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

89% Under 3.5 Goals

Almagro average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Rafaela average 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Almagro have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Atlético Rafaela have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Almagro have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Atlético Rafaela in 30% away. Almagro average 1.1 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Atlético Rafaela 0.5 and 1.2 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Almagro have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Atlético Rafaela in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Almagro regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). Atlético Rafaela are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

League Table

Where Almagro and Atlético Rafaela sit in the Primera B Nacional table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
9	Atlético Rafaela A	17	7	5	5	14:12	+2	26
19	Almagro H	18	6	4	8	15:19	-4	22

View the full Primera B Nacional 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Morón	17	10	4	3	26:14	+12	34
2	Atlanta	18	10	3	5	23:13	+10	33
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	17	10	3	4	27:19	+8	33
4	Club Ferro Carril Oeste	17	9	4	4	19:13	+6	31
5	Los Andes	17	7	8	2	15:4	+11	29
6	Club Atletico Colón	17	7	8	2	21:13	+8	29
7	Tristán Suárez	17	7	8	2	16:10	+6	29
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	18	6	9	3	15:12	+3	27
9	Atlético Rafaela A	17	7	5	5	14:12	+2	26
10	Temperley	17	6	8	3	17:16	+1	26
11	Estudiantes de Buenos Aires	18	7	5	6	14:15	-1	26
12	Deportivo Madryn	17	6	7	4	22:17	+5	25
13	Godoy Cruz	17	6	7	4	18:13	+5	25
14	Midland	17	7	4	6	18:13	+5	25
15	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16:19	-3	24
16	Colegiales	18	6	5	7	17:17	0	23
17	Almirante Brown	17	6	5	6	10:11	-1	23
18	San Martín de Tucumán	17	5	7	5	14:14	0	22
19	Almagro H	18	6	4	8	15:19	-4	22
20	Deportivo Maipú	17	6	3	8	22:20	+2	21
21	Quilmes Atlético Club	18	5	6	7	16:14	+2	21
22	Nueva Chicago	16	5	6	5	15:16	-1	21
23	San Martín San Juan	16	5	5	6	16:18	-2	20
24	San Telmo	18	4	8	6	14:16	-2	20
25	Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta	17	5	5	7	16:19	-3	20
26	Defensores de Belgrano	17	4	8	5	12:15	-3	20
27	Patronato	17	4	8	5	11:14	-3	20
28	Racing de Córdoba	18	5	5	8	16:21	-5	20
29	Güemes	17	5	4	8	17:27	-10	19
30	Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors	17	5	3	9	14:20	-6	18
31	Agropecuario Argentino	17	4	6	7	14:20	-6	18
32	Acassuso	18	5	3	10	12:19	-7	18
33	CA Mitre	17	3	8	6	17:20	-3	17
34	All Boys	17	3	7	7	10:18	-8	16
35	Central Norte de Salta	17	3	6	8	10:16	-6	15
36	Chaco For Ever	17	1	6	10	12:24	-12	9

Team Form

Atlético Rafaela have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Almagro have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Won

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Almagro (30% BTTS at home) and Atlético Rafaela (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 36% · BTTS No 64%

Match Goals

Almagro (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Rafaela (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Almagro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Atlético Rafaela in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Almagro 1.1 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Atlético Rafaela 0.5 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Almagro 11 scored / 7 conceded at home · Atlético Rafaela 5 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Almagro regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Atlético Rafaela are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Almagro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Rafaela have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Almagro: last 10 home A Atlético Rafaela: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela?

Under 2.5 Goals: Almagro have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Rafaela in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Almagro or Atlético Rafaela?

Almagro have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Atlético Rafaela on the road (20% wins) in Primera B Nacional. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Almagro and Atlético Rafaela?

Unlikely. Almagro (30% BTTS at home) and Atlético Rafaela (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera B Nacional. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Almagro and Atlético Rafaela?

Unlikely. Almagro (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Rafaela (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera B Nacional. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Almagro or Atlético Rafaela?

Atlético Rafaela have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Almagro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Almagro and Atlético Rafaela?

Possibly. Almagro regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Atlético Rafaela are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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