Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Friday 17th July, 23:00 BST

América Mineiro vs Ceará Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

América Mineiro Home 2W 1D 7L last 10 home
VS
Ceará Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
América Mineiro 43% Draw 28% Ceará 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

América Mineiro vs Ceará Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

América Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Ceará in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
43% América Mineiro win 28% Draw 29% Ceará win 49% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

América Mineiro average 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Ceará average 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. América Mineiro have won 20% of home games, Ceará 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

América Mineiro have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Ceará are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

América Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Ceará are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. América Mineiro see 8+ in 70% of home games, Ceará in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where América Mineiro and Ceará sit in the Serie B table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
15 Ceará A 15 4 5 6 15:18 -3 17
20 América Mineiro H 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
View the full Serie B 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 15 8 4 3 23:17 +6 28
2 Fortaleza 16 8 4 4 20:16 +4 28
3 Novorizontino 15 7 6 2 24:14 +10 27
4 Criciúma 15 7 6 2 17:11 +6 27
5 São Bernardo 15 7 4 4 20:12 +8 25
6 Juventude 15 7 4 4 16:8 +8 25
7 Sport Recife 15 6 7 2 18:11 +7 25
8 Operário PR 15 7 4 4 19:17 +2 25
9 Cuiabá 16 5 8 3 12:9 +3 23
10 Athletic Club 15 5 7 3 16:15 +1 22
11 Atlético GO 15 5 6 4 18:16 +2 21
12 Goiás 15 6 3 6 14:21 -7 21
13 Náutico 15 6 2 7 21:19 +2 20
14 CRB 15 5 4 6 24:24 0 19
15 Ceará A 15 4 5 6 15:18 -3 17
16 Botafogo SP 15 4 4 7 14:14 0 16
17 Londrina 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
18 Avaí 15 3 4 8 15:21 -6 13
19 Ponte Preta 16 2 2 12 10:31 -21 8
20 América Mineiro H 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6

Team Form

América Mineiro (20% home wins) and Ceará (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

América Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Ceará are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

América Mineiro frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Ceará are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

América Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Ceará in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

América Mineiro 1 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Ceará 0.9 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: América Mineiro 10 scored / 17 conceded at home · Ceará 9 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Ceará frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while América Mineiro are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

América Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Ceará have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H América Mineiro: last 10 home A Ceará: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

América Mineiro vs Ceará Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for América Mineiro vs Ceará?

Under 3.5 Goals: América Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Ceará in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, América Mineiro or Ceará?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. América Mineiro have won 20% of home games, Ceará 20% away in Serie B. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between América Mineiro and Ceará?

Possibly. América Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Ceará are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between América Mineiro and Ceará?

Possibly. América Mineiro frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Ceará are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: América Mineiro or Ceará?

Ceará have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to América Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between América Mineiro and Ceará?

Possibly. Ceará frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while América Mineiro are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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