Liga MX · Mexico 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 04:05 BST

Atlas vs Juárez Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Atlas Home · 14th 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Juárez Away · 7th 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Atlas 32% Draw 27% Juárez 41%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Atlas vs Juárez Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
32% Atlas win 27% Draw 41% Juárez win 52% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Atlas sit 14th in the table after 8 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Juárez are 7th after 8 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Atlas have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Juárez have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Atlas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Juárez in 60% away (6/10). Atlas average 1.2 scored and 1 conceded at home, Juárez 1.2 and 1.8 on the road.

Juárez regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Atlas are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Atlas see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Juárez in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Atlas (14th) and Juárez (7th) sit in the Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Juárez A 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas H 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
View the full Liga MX 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez A 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas H 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Juárez have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Atlas have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Juárez regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Atlas are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Atlas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Juárez in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Atlas have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Juárez in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Atlas 1.2 scored · 1 conceded per home game Juárez 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Atlas 12 scored / 10 conceded at home · Juárez 12 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Juárez frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Atlas are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Atlas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Juárez have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Atlas: last 10 home A Juárez: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlas and Juárez. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

5th Apr, 2025
Atlas
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Juárez
6th Jul, 2024
Juárez
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlas
29th Jan, 2024
Atlas
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Juárez
23rd Sep, 2023
Juárez
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlas
Show 6 more meetings
10th Apr, 2023
Juárez
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlas
17th Aug, 2022
Atlas
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Juárez
12th Mar, 2022
Juárez
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlas
1st Aug, 2021
Atlas
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Juárez
6th Mar, 2021
Atlas
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Juárez
26th Sep, 2020
Juárez
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlas

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlas vs Juárez across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Atlas 2.8 Model: 32%
Draw 3.44 Model: 27%
Juárez 2.37 Model: 41%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.68 Model: 52%
Value No 2.36 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 71%
Over 2.5 1.84 Model: 47%
Over 3.5 3.12 Model: 27%
Value Under 1.5 4.44 Model: 29%
Value Under 2.5 2.16 Model: 53%
Value Under 3.5 1.45 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.81

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.5 Model: 60%
Over 9.5 1.8 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 2.25 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 3.25 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Atlas 3.7 Model: 26%
Draw 2.16 Model: 40%
Juárez 2.98 Model: 34%

Double Chance

Atlas or Draw 1.53 Model: 60%
Atlas or Juárez 1.27 Model: 73%
Draw or Juárez 1.4 Model: 68%

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 66%
Over 1.5 2.66 Model: 32%
Over 2.5 6

Juárez Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2.19 Model: 38%
Over 2.5 5.2

Atlas vs Juárez Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlas vs Juárez?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Atlas or Juárez?

Atlas have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Juárez on the road (20% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlas and Juárez?

Possibly. Juárez regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Atlas are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlas and Juárez?

Uncertain. Atlas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Juárez in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlas or Juárez?

Atlas have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Juárez's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlas and Juárez?

Possibly. Juárez frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Atlas are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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