Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 20:00 BST

Avaí vs Náutico Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Avaí Home 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Náutico Away 4W 3D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Avaí 34% Draw 27% Náutico 38%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Avaí vs Náutico Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Avaí see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Náutico in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
34% Avaí win 27% Draw 38% Náutico win 55% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals

Avaí average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Náutico average 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Avaí have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Náutico have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Avaí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Náutico in 50% away (5/10). Avaí average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Náutico 1.9 and 1.6 on the road.

Náutico regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Avaí are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Avaí see 8+ in 60% of home games, Náutico in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Avaí and Náutico sit in the Serie B table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Náutico A 14 6 2 6 21:18 +3 20
18 Avaí H 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
View the full Serie B 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 15 8 4 3 23:17 +6 28
2 Novorizontino 15 7 6 2 24:14 +10 27
3 Criciúma 15 7 6 2 17:11 +6 27
4 São Bernardo 15 7 4 4 20:12 +8 25
5 Sport Recife 14 6 7 1 17:9 +8 25
6 Operário PR 15 7 4 4 19:17 +2 25
7 Juventude 14 6 4 4 14:8 +6 22
8 Fortaleza 14 6 4 4 16:15 +1 22
9 Náutico A 14 6 2 6 21:18 +3 20
10 Cuiabá 15 4 8 3 11:9 +2 20
11 Athletic Club 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
12 Atlético GO 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
13 Goiás 14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
14 Ceará 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
15 Botafogo SP 14 4 4 6 14:13 +1 16
16 CRB 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
17 Londrina 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
18 Avaí H 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
19 Ponte Preta 14 2 2 10 10:27 -17 8
20 América Mineiro 15 1 3 11 10:26 -16 6

Team Form

Avaí have won 50% of home games this season, Náutico 40% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Náutico regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Avaí are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Avaí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Náutico in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Avaí have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Náutico in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Avaí 1.5 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Náutico 1.9 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Avaí 15 scored / 9 conceded at home · Náutico 19 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Náutico frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Avaí are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Avaí have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Náutico have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Avaí: last 10 home A Náutico: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Avaí vs Náutico Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Avaí vs Náutico?

Over 1.5 Goals: Avaí see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Náutico in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Avaí or Náutico?

Avaí have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Náutico on the road (40% wins) in Serie B. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Avaí and Náutico?

Mixed. Avaí have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Náutico in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie B fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Avaí and Náutico?

Uncertain. Avaí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Náutico in 50% of away games in Serie B. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Avaí or Náutico?

Náutico have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Avaí's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Avaí and Náutico?

Possibly. Náutico frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Avaí are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta

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Novorizontino vs Atlético GO

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Londrina vs CRB

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Goiás vs Ceará

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🕒 Sunday 5th July, 00:00 BST

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Náutico vs Juventude

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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