La Liga 2 · Spain 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 15:15 GMT

Burgos vs Leganés Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Burgos Home · 9th 6W 4D 0L last 10 home
VS
Leganés Away · 13th 0W 2D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
Burgos 38% Draw 29% Leganés 33%
⭐ Our Prediction Burgos to Win See why ↓

Burgos vs Leganés Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Burgos to Win

High confidence

Burgos have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Leganés have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
38% Burgos win 29% Draw 33% Leganés win 47% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Under 3.5 Goals 66% Over 1.5 Goals

Burgos sit 9th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Leganés are 13th after 21 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Burgos have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Leganés side who've won 0/10 away (0%).

Burgos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Leganés in 60% away (6/10). Burgos average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Leganés 0.6 and 1.8 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Burgos at 40% in home games (4/10), Leganés at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Burgos see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Leganés in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Burgos (9th) and Leganés (13th) sit in the La Liga 2 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 Burgos H 42 20 12 10 48:33 +15 72
16 Leganés A 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
View the full La Liga 2 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 +29 82
2 Málaga 46 23 12 11 79:54 +25 81
3 Almería 46 23 10 13 86:68 +18 79
4 Deportivo La Coruña 42 22 11 9 65:44 +21 77
5 Las Palmas 44 20 14 10 58:42 +16 74
6 Castellón 44 20 13 11 73:55 +18 73
7 Burgos H 42 20 12 10 48:33 +15 72
8 SD Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 +12 67
9 Sporting Gijón 42 18 7 17 60:54 +6 61
10 Córdoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
11 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 +1 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 +8 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
15 Real Sociedad II 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
16 Leganés A 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
17 Real Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
18 Cádiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
19 Mirandés 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36

Team Form

Burgos hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Leganés have been less consistent on the road (0%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burgos have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Leganés in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Burgos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leganés in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Burgos have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Leganés in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Burgos 1.4 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game Leganés 0.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Burgos 14 scored / 4 conceded at home · Leganés 6 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Burgos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Leganés in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Burgos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Leganés have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Burgos: last 10 home A Leganés: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burgos and Leganés. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Nov 2025
Leganés
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Burgos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jan 2024
Leganés
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Burgos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Oct 2023
Burgos
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Leganés
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 May 2023
Burgos
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Leganés
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
18 Sep 2022
Leganés
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Burgos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jan 2022
Burgos
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Leganés
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Aug 2021
Leganés
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Burgos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burgos vs Leganés across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Burgos 2.4 Model: 38%
Draw 2.9 Model: 29%
Value Leganés 4.1 Model: 33%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.46 Model: 47%
No 1.65 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.7 Model: 66%
Value Over 2.5 3.22 Model: 40%
Value Over 3.5 7.4 Model: 20%
Under 1.5 2.36 Model: 34%
Under 2.5 1.36 Model: 60%
Under 3.5 1.11 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.68 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 3.9

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44 Model: 47%
Over 9.5 1.76 Model: 36%
Over 10.5 2.57 Model: 26%
Over 11.5 3 Model: 18%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Burgos 3.25 Model: 26%
Draw 1.76 Model: 50%
Value Leganés 4.72 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Burgos or Draw 1.3 Model: 67%
Burgos or Leganés 1.43 Model: 71%
Draw or Leganés 1.58 Model: 62%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 1.43 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.9 Model: 32%

Leganés Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.67 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 4 Model: 29%

Burgos vs Leganés Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Leganés?

Burgos to Win: Burgos have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Leganés have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Burgos or Leganés?

Burgos hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in La Liga 2 this season, while Leganés have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Burgos and Leganés?

Mixed. Burgos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Leganés in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this La Liga 2 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burgos and Leganés?

Uncertain. Burgos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leganés in 60% of away games in La Liga 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burgos or Leganés?

Burgos have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Leganés's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burgos and Leganés?

Burgos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Leganés in 50% of away games in La Liga 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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