Major League Soccer · United States 🕒 Friday 17th July, 00:30 BST

CF Montréal vs Toronto Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

CF Montréal Home 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
Toronto Away 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
CF Montréal 52% Draw 25% Toronto 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

CF Montréal vs Toronto Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

CF Montréal see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toronto in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
52% CF Montréal win 25% Draw 23% Toronto win 52% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

CF Montréal average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Toronto average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded in away fixtures. CF Montréal have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Toronto have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: CF Montréal in 90% of home games, Toronto in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Toronto regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). CF Montréal are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. CF Montréal see 8+ in 80% of home games, Toronto in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where CF Montréal and Toronto sit in the Major League Soccer table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
24 Toronto A 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
25 CF Montréal H 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
View the full Major League Soccer 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 31:11 +20 33
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 34:12 +22 32
3 SJ Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 34:15 +19 32
4 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 39:28 +11 31
5 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 27:16 +11 26
6 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 26:19 +7 26
7 Dallas 15 7 4 4 30:22 +8 25
8 New England 14 8 1 5 22:18 +4 25
9 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 24:17 +7 24
10 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 17:11 +6 24
11 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
12 Minnesota United 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
13 New York RB 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
14 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 24:23 +1 21
15 LA Galaxy 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
16 Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
17 New York City 15 5 4 6 25:21 +4 19
18 DC United 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
19 San Diego 15 4 5 6 30:27 +3 17
20 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 25:24 +1 16
21 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
22 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
23 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
24 Toronto A 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
25 CF Montréal H 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
26 Austin 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
27 Orlando City 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
28 Atlanta United 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
29 Sporting KC 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
30 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7

Team Form

Toronto have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while CF Montréal have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toronto regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while CF Montréal are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (CF Montréal 90% at home, Toronto 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

CF Montréal have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Toronto in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

CF Montréal 1.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Toronto 0.9 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: CF Montréal 16 scored / 12 conceded at home · Toronto 9 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

CF Montréal regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toronto are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

CF Montréal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Toronto have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H CF Montréal: last 10 home A Toronto: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for CF Montréal vs Toronto across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

CF Montréal 1.8 Model: 52%
Draw 3.7 Model: 25%
Toronto 3.9 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62 Model: 52%
Value No 2.2 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21 Model: 75%
Over 2.5 1.62 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 2.52 Model: 30%
Value Under 1.5 4.3 Model: 25%
Value Under 2.5 2.25 Model: 49%
Value Under 3.5 1.5 Model: 70%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.37
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

CF Montréal 2.37 Model: 40%
Draw 2.4 Model: 38%
Toronto 4.33 Model: 22%

Double Chance

CF Montréal or Draw 1.25 Model: 77%
CF Montréal or Toronto 1.28 Model: 75%
Draw or Toronto 1.95 Model: 48%

CF Montréal Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 1.66 Model: 49%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 59%
Over 1.5 2.75 Model: 26%

CF Montréal vs Toronto Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for CF Montréal vs Toronto?

Over 8.5 Corners: CF Montréal see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Toronto in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, CF Montréal or Toronto?

CF Montréal have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Toronto on the road (10% wins) in Major League Soccer. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between CF Montréal and Toronto?

Mixed. CF Montréal have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Toronto in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between CF Montréal and Toronto?

Uncertain. CF Montréal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Toronto in 50% of away games in Major League Soccer. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: CF Montréal or Toronto?

CF Montréal have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Toronto's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between CF Montréal and Toronto?

Possibly. CF Montréal regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Toronto are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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