Allsvenskan · Sweden 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 14:00 BST

Degerfors vs Malmö FF Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Degerfors Home 2W 4D 4L last 10 home
VS
Malmö FF Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Degerfors 29% Draw 28% Malmö FF 43%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Degerfors vs Malmö FF Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Degerfors see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Malmö FF in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
29% Degerfors win 28% Draw 43% Malmö FF win 51% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Under 3.5 Goals

Degerfors average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Malmö FF average 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded in away fixtures. Degerfors have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Malmö FF have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Malmö FF have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Degerfors are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Degerfors frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Malmö FF are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 80% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Degerfors see 8+ in 100% of home games, Malmö FF in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Degerfors and Malmö FF sit in the Allsvenskan table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Malmö FF A 10 4 1 5 20:20 0 13
12 Degerfors H 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
View the full Allsvenskan 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Sirius 10 9 1 0 27:10 +17 28
2 Häcken 10 5 5 0 20:14 +6 20
3 Elfsborg 11 4 6 1 16:11 +5 18
4 Hammarby 11 5 2 4 24:13 +11 17
5 GAIS 11 4 3 4 16:11 +5 15
6 Mjällby 10 4 3 3 14:11 +3 15
7 Brommapojkarna 10 4 3 3 15:16 -1 15
8 Djurgården 9 4 1 4 19:13 +6 13
9 Malmö FF A 10 4 1 5 20:20 0 13
10 AIK 10 3 3 4 12:16 -4 12
11 Västerås SK 10 3 3 4 17:22 -5 12
12 Degerfors H 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
13 Kalmar 10 3 1 6 11:15 -4 10
14 IFK Göteborg 9 1 4 4 10:20 -10 7
15 Halmstad 10 1 3 6 9:20 -11 6
16 Örgryte 9 1 3 5 8:22 -14 6

Team Form

Malmö FF have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Degerfors have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Degerfors frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Malmö FF are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Malmö FF regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Degerfors are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Degerfors have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Malmö FF in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Degerfors 1.1 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Malmö FF 1.2 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Degerfors 11 scored / 15 conceded at home · Malmö FF 12 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Degerfors (100% Over 7.5 at home) and Malmö FF (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Degerfors have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Malmö FF have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Degerfors: last 10 home A Malmö FF: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Degerfors vs Malmö FF across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Degerfors 2.7 Model: 29%
Draw 3.4 Model: 28%
Malmö FF 2.4 Model: 43%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67 Model: 51%
No 2.1 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 1.8 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 2.85 Model: 25%
Under 1.5 3.6 Model: 28%
Value Under 2.5 2 Model: 54%
Value Under 3.5 1.39 Model: 75%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Degerfors 3.25 Model: 26%
Draw 2.25 Model: 42%
Malmö FF 3 Model: 31%

Double Chance

Degerfors or Draw 1.53 Model: 57%
Degerfors or Malmö FF 1.3 Model: 72%
Draw or Malmö FF 1.44 Model: 70%

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 2.37 Model: 29%

Malmö FF Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.2 Model: 40%

Degerfors vs Malmö FF Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Degerfors vs Malmö FF?

Over 1.5 Goals: Degerfors see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Malmö FF in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Degerfors or Malmö FF?

Malmö FF hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Degerfors at home (20% wins) in Allsvenskan. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Degerfors and Malmö FF?

Mixed. Degerfors have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Malmö FF in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Allsvenskan fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Degerfors and Malmö FF?

Possibly. Malmö FF regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Degerfors are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Degerfors or Malmö FF?

Malmö FF have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Degerfors's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Degerfors and Malmö FF?

Degerfors have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Malmö FF in 60% of away games in Allsvenskan. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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