Ekstraklasa · Poland 🕒 Sunday 22nd February, 16:30 GMT

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Korona Kielce Home · 8th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Lech Poznań Away · 7th 8W 1D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Korona Kielce 28% Draw 25% Lech Poznań 46%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Korona Kielce have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Lech Poznań in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
28% Korona Kielce win 25% Draw 46% Lech Poznań win 54% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals

Korona Kielce sit 8th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Lech Poznań are 7th after 18 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. Lech Poznań carry the better away form into this fixture (8/10, 80%), while Korona Kielce have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Korona Kielce have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Lech Poznań in 50% away (5/10). Korona Kielce average 1.2 scored and 1 conceded at home, Lech Poznań 1.5 and 0.6 on the road.

Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Lech Poznań are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 90% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Korona Kielce see 8+ in 80% of home games, Lech Poznań in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Korona Kielce (8th) and Lech Poznań (7th) sit in the Ekstraklasa table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lech Poznań A 34 16 12 6 62:45 +17 60
11 Korona Kielce H 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
View the full Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lech Poznań A 34 16 12 6 62:45 +17 60
2 Jagiellonia Białystok 34 15 11 8 56:41 +15 56
3 Górnik Zabrze 34 16 8 10 50:38 +12 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 51:40 +11 55
5 Katowice 34 14 8 12 51:45 +6 50
6 Legia Warszawa 34 12 13 9 42:37 +5 49
7 Zagłębie Lubin 34 13 9 12 45:38 +7 48
8 Wisła Płock 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
9 Pogoń Szczecin 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
11 Korona Kielce H 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
12 Lechia Gdańsk 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 43
13 Motor Lublin 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
14 Widzew Lodz 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
15 Cracovia Kraków 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
16 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34

Team Form

Lech Poznań have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 80% of away games compared to Korona Kielce's 30% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Lech Poznań are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Korona Kielce have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Korona Kielce have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Lech Poznań in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Korona Kielce 1.2 scored · 1 conceded per home game Lech Poznań 1.5 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game
H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Korona Kielce 12 scored / 10 conceded at home · Lech Poznań 15 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Korona Kielce (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Lech Poznań (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Korona Kielce have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lech Poznań have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Lech Poznań: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznań. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16 Aug 2025
Lech Poznań
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2025
Lech Poznań
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Sep 2024
Korona Kielce
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Lech Poznań
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 May 2024
Lech Poznań
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
02 Dec 2023
Korona Kielce
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lech Poznań
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 May 2023
Korona Kielce
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Lech Poznań
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2022
Lech Poznań
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jun 2020
Korona Kielce
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Lech Poznań
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Nov 2019
Lech Poznań
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2019
Korona Kielce
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lech Poznań
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Korona Kielce 2.89 Model: 28%
Draw 3.38 Model: 25%
Value Lech Poznań 2.38 Model: 46%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.56 Model: 54%
Value No 2.46 Model: 46%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.7 Model: 53%
Over 3.5 2.92 Model: 30%
Under 1.5 4 Model: 24%
Value Under 2.5 2.28 Model: 47%
Value Under 3.5 1.48 Model: 70%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 2.44

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18 Model: 63%
Over 9.5 1.34 Model: 51%
Over 10.5 1.56 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 1.9 Model: 30%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Korona Kielce 3.54 Model: 23%
Draw 2.3 Model: 43%
Lech Poznań 3.05 Model: 34%

Double Chance

Korona Kielce or Draw 1.55 Model: 54%
Korona Kielce or Lech Poznań 1.33 Model: 75%
Draw or Lech Poznań 1.4 Model: 72%

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 1.24 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 2.42 Model: 31%

Lech Poznań Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.06 Model: 46%

Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznań?

Under 3.5 Goals: Korona Kielce have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Lech Poznań in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Korona Kielce or Lech Poznań?

Lech Poznań arrive in the better form. Winning 80% of away games in Ekstraklasa this season compared to Korona Kielce's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznań?

Possibly. Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Lech Poznań are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznań?

Uncertain. Korona Kielce have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games in Ekstraklasa. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Korona Kielce or Lech Poznań?

Lech Poznań have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Korona Kielce's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznań?

Korona Kielce have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Lech Poznań in 50% of away games in Ekstraklasa. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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