Liga MX · Mexico 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 01:00 GMT

León vs Tigres UANL Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

León Home · 9th 5W 1D 4L last 10 home
VS
Tigres UANL Away · 10th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
León 35% Draw 26% Tigres UANL 39%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

León vs Tigres UANL Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

León see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Tigres UANL in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
35% León win 26% Draw 39% Tigres UANL win 52% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

León sit 9th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Tigres UANL are 10th after 24 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. León have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Tigres UANL have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

León have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Tigres UANL are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

León frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Tigres UANL are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

León regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Tigres UANL are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where León (9th) and Tigres UANL (10th) sit in the Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Tigres UANL A 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
14 León H 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
View the full Liga MX 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL A 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León H 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Tigres UANL have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while León have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

León frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Tigres UANL are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

León frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tigres UANL are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

León have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tigres UANL in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

León 1.6 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Tigres UANL 0.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: León 16 scored / 15 conceded at home · Tigres UANL 6 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Both León (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Tigres UANL (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

León have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Tigres UANL have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H León — last 10 home A Tigres UANL — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between León and Tigres UANL. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Sep 2025
Tigres UANL
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
León
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Feb 2025
León
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tigres UANL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Tigres UANL
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
León
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jan 2024
León
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Tigres UANL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
16 Jul 2023
Tigres UANL
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
León
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 May 2023
León
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Tigres UANL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 May 2023
León
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Tigres UANL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2023
Tigres UANL
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
León
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2022
Tigres UANL
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
León
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Mar 2022
León
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Tigres UANL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for León vs Tigres UANL across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value León 3.85 Model: 35%
Draw 3.67 Model: 26%
Tigres UANL 1.97 Model: 39%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.68 Model: 52%
No 2.06 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 1.82 Model: 47%
Over 3.5 3.13 Model: 26%
Under 1.5 3.42 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.94 Model: 53%
Under 3.5 1.39 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.59

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.46 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 1.76 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.2 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value León 4.26 Model: 27%
Draw 2.36 Model: 41%
Tigres UANL 2.63 Model: 32%

Double Chance

Value León or Draw 1.86 Model: 61%
León or Tigres UANL 1.31 Model: 74%
Draw or Tigres UANL 1.3 Model: 66%

León Goals

Over 0.5 1.42 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.89 Model: 33%

Tigres UANL Goals

Over 0.5 1.17 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 1.93 Model: 37%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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León vs Tigres UANL Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for León vs Tigres UANL?

Over 8.5 Corners — León see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Tigres UANL in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, León or Tigres UANL?

León have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tigres UANL on the road (10% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between León and Tigres UANL?

Possibly — León frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Tigres UANL are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between León and Tigres UANL?

Possibly — León frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Tigres UANL are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: León or Tigres UANL?

León have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Tigres UANL's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between León and Tigres UANL?

Yes — both León (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Tigres UANL (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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