Champions League · Europe 🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 20:00 GMT

Liverpool vs Qarabağ Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liverpool Home · 4th 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Qarabağ Away · 18th 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Liverpool 57% Draw 20% Qarabağ 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Liverpool vs Qarabağ Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Liverpool see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
57% Liverpool win 20% Draw 23% Qarabağ win 54% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals

Liverpool sit 4th in the table, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Qarabağ are 18th after 6 games, averaging 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Liverpool have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Qarabağ have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Qarabağ in 60% away (6/10). Liverpool average 2.1 scored and 1 conceded at home, Qarabağ 1.8 and 1.4 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Liverpool in 60% of home games (6/10), Qarabağ in 70% away (7/10). Liverpool have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Qarabağ in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Liverpool see 8+ in 80% of home games, Qarabağ in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Liverpool (4th) and Qarabağ (18th) sit in the Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Qarabağ A 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
12 Liverpool H 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
View the full Champions League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 11 4 0 30:7 +23 37
2 Paris Saint Germain 17 10 5 2 45:23 +22 35
3 FC Bayern München 14 11 1 2 43:20 +23 34
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ A 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético de Madrid 16 7 3 6 35:28 +7 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool H 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
15 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
21 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
27 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
30 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
39 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
40 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
43 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
44 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
45 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
46 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
47 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
48 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
52 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
53 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
54 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
55 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
56 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
57 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
58 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
59 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
60 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
61 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
62 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
66 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
67 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
68 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
70 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
71 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
74 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
75 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
76 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
77 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
78 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
79 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
80 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
81 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
82 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0

Team Form

Qarabağ have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Liverpool have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Qarabağ in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Qarabağ in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Liverpool 2.1 scored · 1 conceded per home game Qarabağ 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Liverpool 21 scored / 10 conceded at home · Qarabağ 18 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Liverpool regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Qarabağ are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Qarabağ have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Qarabağ: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Liverpool and Qarabağ. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Jan 2026
Liverpool
6 – 0 HT: 2-0
Qarabağ
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Liverpool vs Qarabağ across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Liverpool 1.08 Model: 57%
Value Draw 12 Model: 20%
Value Qarabağ 21 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86 Model: 54%
No 2.1 Model: 46%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.05 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.17 Model: 59%
Over 3.5 1.53 Model: 35%
Value Under 1.5 18.5 Model: 20%
Value Under 2.5 6.6 Model: 41%
Value Under 3.5 3.12 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.11 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 1.57

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.15 Model: 54%
Over 9.5 1.28 Model: 43%
Over 10.5 1.68 Model: 34%
Over 11.5 1.76 Model: 25%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Liverpool 1.34 Model: 44%
Value Draw 4.49 Model: 35%
Value Qarabağ 12.88 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Liverpool or Draw 1.01 Model: 77%
Liverpool or Qarabağ 1.05 Model: 80%
Value Draw or Qarabağ 8.12 Model: 43%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.01 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 1.07 Model: 55%

Qarabağ Goals

Over 0.5 1.83 Model: 56%
Value Over 1.5 5.2 Model: 27%

Liverpool vs Qarabağ Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Qarabağ?

Over 8.5 Corners: Liverpool see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Liverpool or Qarabağ?

Liverpool have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Qarabağ on the road (40% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Liverpool and Qarabağ?

Possibly. Qarabağ regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Liverpool are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Liverpool and Qarabağ?

Uncertain. Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games in Champions League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Liverpool or Qarabağ?

Liverpool have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Qarabağ's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Liverpool and Qarabağ?

Possibly. Liverpool regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Qarabağ are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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