Liga MX · Mexico 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 03:00 GMT

Mazatlán vs Guadalajara Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Mazatlán Home · 18th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Guadalajara Away · 1st 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Mazatlán 18% Draw 21% Guadalajara 62%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Mazatlán vs Guadalajara Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Mazatlán see both teams score in 90% of home games, Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
18% Mazatlán win 21% Draw 62% Guadalajara win 54% BTTS 57% Over 2.5 Goals 0-2 most likely score
Also worth a look

Mazatlán sit 18th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Guadalajara are 1st after 22 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Mazatlán have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Guadalajara have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Guadalajara have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Mazatlán are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Mazatlán in 90% of home games (9/10), Guadalajara in 80% away (8/10). Mazatlán have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Guadalajara in 80% of away games.

Mazatlán regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Guadalajara are lower on the road (10%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Mazatlán (18th) and Guadalajara (1st) sit in the Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Guadalajara A 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
17 Mazatlán H 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
View the full Liga MX 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara A 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán H 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Guadalajara have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Mazatlán have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mazatlán have seen both teams score in 90% of home games this season, Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Guadalajara regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Mazatlán are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Mazatlán have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Guadalajara in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Mazatlán 1.7 scored · 1.9 conceded per home game Guadalajara 1.5 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Mazatlán 17 scored / 19 conceded at home · Guadalajara 15 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Mazatlán regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Guadalajara are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Mazatlán have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of home matches. Opponents do get their share of set-pieces.

Guadalajara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Mazatlán: last 10 home A Guadalajara: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mazatlán and Guadalajara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Guadalajara
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Mazatlán
12 Apr 2025
Mazatlán
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Guadalajara
20 Jul 2024
Guadalajara
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mazatlán
17 Feb 2024
Mazatlán
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Guadalajara
Show 6 more meetings
27 Sep 2023
Guadalajara
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Mazatlán
30 Apr 2023
Guadalajara
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Mazatlán
17 Dec 2022
Guadalajara
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mazatlán
06 Aug 2022
Mazatlán
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara
10 Jan 2022
Guadalajara
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Mazatlán
06 Nov 2021
Mazatlán
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Guadalajara

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mazatlán vs Guadalajara across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Mazatlán 6.93 Model: 18%
Draw 4.4 Model: 21%
Guadalajara 1.4 Model: 62%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.86 Model: 54%
No 1.92 Model: 46%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.69 Model: 57%
Over 3.5 2.72 Model: 36%
Under 1.5 4.53 Model: 20%
Under 2.5 2.38 Model: 43%
Under 3.5 1.47 Model: 64%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.53

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24 Model: 50%
Over 9.5 1.44 Model: 39%
Over 10.5 1.72 Model: 29%
Over 11.5 2.12 Model: 20%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Mazatlán 7.11 Model: 14%
Draw 2.62 Model: 36%
Guadalajara 1.85 Model: 50%

Double Chance

Value Mazatlán or Draw 2.79 Model: 38%
Mazatlán or Guadalajara 1.15 Model: 79%
Draw or Guadalajara 1.07 Model: 82%

Mazatlán Goals

Over 0.5 1.58 Model: 53%
Over 1.5 4 Model: 22%

Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.06 Model: 85%
Over 1.5 1.46 Model: 60%

Mazatlán vs Guadalajara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mazatlán vs Guadalajara?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: Mazatlán see both teams score in 90% of home games, Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Mazatlán or Guadalajara?

Guadalajara hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Mazatlán at home (30% wins) in Liga MX. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mazatlán and Guadalajara?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Mazatlán have seen BTTS in 90% of home games, Guadalajara in 80% of away games in Liga MX. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mazatlán and Guadalajara?

Possibly. Guadalajara regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Mazatlán are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mazatlán or Guadalajara?

Guadalajara have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Mazatlán's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mazatlán and Guadalajara?

Possibly. Mazatlán regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Guadalajara are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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