Tercera - Group 3 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 11:00 GMT

Montañas del Pas vs Castro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Montañas del Pas Home · 18th 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Castro Away · 11th 1W 2D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Montañas del Pas 30% Draw 27% Castro 43%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Montañas del Pas vs Castro Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Montañas del Pas see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Castro in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
30% Montañas del Pas win 27% Draw 43% Castro win 53% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Under 3.5 Goals

Montañas del Pas sit 18th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Castro are 11th after 17 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Montañas del Pas have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Castro have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Montañas del Pas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Castro in 60% away (6/10). Montañas del Pas average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, Castro 0.8 and 1.8 on the road.

Montañas del Pas frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Castro are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Montañas del Pas see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Castro in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Montañas del Pas (18th) and Castro (11th) sit in the Tercera - Group 3 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
11 Castro A 34 10 8 16 44:47 -3 38
17 Montañas del Pas H 34 6 8 20 35:87 -52 26
View the full Tercera - Group 3 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gimnástica Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 +71 83
2 Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 +35 71
3 Tropezón 34 21 4 9 50:27 +23 67
4 Cultural Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 +21 66
5 Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 +22 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 +11 59
7 Atlético Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 +16 56
8 Cayon 34 17 5 12 50:41 +9 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 -1 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 +5 47
11 Castro A 34 10 8 16 44:47 -3 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 -12 32
13 Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 -28 31
14 Barquereño 34 8 6 20 37:64 -27 30
15 Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 -20 28
16 Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 -24 28
17 Montañas del Pas H 34 6 8 20 35:87 -52 26
18 Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 -46 19

Team Form

Castro have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Montañas del Pas have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Montañas del Pas frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Castro are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Montañas del Pas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Castro in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Montañas del Pas have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Castro in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Montañas del Pas 1.7 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Castro 0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Montañas del Pas 17 scored / 17 conceded at home · Castro 8 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Montañas del Pas (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Castro (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Montañas del Pas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Castro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Montañas del Pas: last 10 home A Castro: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Montañas del Pas and Castro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Castro
9 – 0 HT: 3-0
Montañas del Pas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Montañas del Pas vs Castro across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Montañas del Pas 3.11 Model: 30%
Draw 3.88 Model: 27%
Castro 1.95 Model: 43%

Montañas del Pas vs Castro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Montañas del Pas vs Castro?

Over 1.5 Goals: Montañas del Pas see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Castro in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Montañas del Pas or Castro?

Montañas del Pas have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Castro on the road (10% wins) in Tercera - Group 3. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Montañas del Pas and Castro?

Possibly. Montañas del Pas frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Castro are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Montañas del Pas and Castro?

Uncertain. Montañas del Pas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Castro in 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 3. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Montañas del Pas or Castro?

Montañas del Pas have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Castro's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Montañas del Pas and Castro?

Unlikely. Montañas del Pas (10% Over 8.5 at home) and Castro (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 3.

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