Esiliiga A · Estonia 🕒 Saturday 30th August, 13:00 BST

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Nõmme Kalju II Home · 7th 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Elva Away · 4th 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju II 24% Draw 18% Elva 58%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Nõmme Kalju II have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Elva in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
24% Nõmme Kalju II win 18% Draw 58% Elva win 68% BTTS 75% Over 2.5 Goals 1-2 most likely score
Also worth a look
89% Over 1.5 Goals 68% BTTS – Yes

Nõmme Kalju II sit 7th in the table after 8 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Elva are 4th after 24 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Nõmme Kalju II have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Elva have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Elva have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Elva regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Nõmme Kalju II see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Elva in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Nõmme Kalju II (7th) and Elva (4th) sit in the Esiliiga A table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Elva A 38 18 8 12 65:61 +4 62
10 Nõmme Kalju II H 18 6 5 7 32:36 -4 23
View the full Esiliiga A 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nõmme United 39 33 2 4 136:28 +108 101
2 Viimsi 37 24 7 6 85:29 +56 79
3 Tartu Welco 38 20 9 9 84:58 +26 69
4 Elva A 38 18 8 12 65:61 +4 62
5 Flora II 38 13 9 16 61:61 0 48
6 Levadia II 39 12 11 16 67:73 -6 47
7 FC Tallinn 40 13 8 19 66:79 -13 47
8 Nõmme Kalju U21 36 13 6 17 56:79 -23 45
9 Tallinna Kalev II 37 5 13 19 55:98 -43 28
10 Nõmme Kalju II H 18 6 5 7 32:36 -4 23
11 Tammeka II 38 3 1 34 42:146 -104 10
12 Phoenix 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1

Team Form

Elva have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Nõmme Kalju II have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Elva regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 68% · BTTS No 32%

Match Goals

Elva regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Nõmme Kalju II have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Elva in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Nõmme Kalju II 1.9 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Elva 1.6 scored · 2.1 conceded per away game
H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Nõmme Kalju II 19 scored / 12 conceded at home · Elva 16 scored / 21 conceded away

Match Corners

Elva frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Nõmme Kalju II have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Elva have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Nõmme Kalju II: last 10 home A Elva: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nõmme Kalju II and Elva. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11th May, 2025
Elva
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Nõmme Kalju II
Corners 8–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Mar, 2025
Nõmme Kalju II
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Elva
Corners 3–4 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Aug, 2022
Elva
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nõmme Kalju II
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Sep, 2018
Elva
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Nõmme Kalju II
Corners 3–7 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
4th Aug, 2018
Nõmme Kalju II
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Elva
Corners 6–3 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th May, 2018
Elva
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nõmme Kalju II
Corners 4–4 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Apr, 2018
Nõmme Kalju II
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Elva
Corners 7–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Nõmme Kalju II 4.87 Model: 24%
Draw 4.73 Model: 18%
Elva 1.41 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 2.5 1.33 Model: 75%
Over 3.5 1.82 Model: 56%
Under 2.5 3.25 Model: 25%
Under 3.5 1.96 Model: 44%

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 1.95
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Nõmme Kalju II 4.5 Model: 21%
Draw 2.75 Model: 32%
Elva 1.83 Model: 47%

Double Chance

Nõmme Kalju II or Draw 2.4 Model: 42%
Nõmme Kalju II or Elva 1.14 Model: 82%
Draw or Elva 1.16 Model: 76%

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

Over 2.5 Goals: Nõmme Kalju II have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Elva in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Nõmme Kalju II or Elva?

Nõmme Kalju II have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Elva on the road (20% wins) in Esiliiga A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nõmme Kalju II and Elva?

Possibly. Elva regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nõmme Kalju II and Elva?

Possibly. Elva regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nõmme Kalju II or Elva?

Elva have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Nõmme Kalju II's 30% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nõmme Kalju II and Elva?

Possibly. Elva frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Nõmme Kalju II are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Maardu vs Flora II

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