Champions League · Europe 🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 20:00 GMT

PSV vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

PSV Home · 22nd 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
FC Bayern München Away · 2nd 8W 1D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
PSV 31% Draw 22% FC Bayern München 48%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

PSV vs FC Bayern München Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

PSV see both teams score in 90% of home games, FC Bayern München in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
31% PSV win 22% Draw 48% FC Bayern München win 66% BTTS 70% Over 2.5 Goals 1-2 most likely score
Also worth a look
86% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Over 2.5 Goals

PSV sit 22th in the table, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. FC Bayern München are 2nd, averaging 3.1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. PSV have won 7/10 home games (70%) this season; FC Bayern München have won 8/10 on the road (80%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. PSV have seen 3+ goals in 100% of home fixtures this season (10/10), and FC Bayern München in 70% of away games (7/10). PSV average 3.2 scored and 1.5 conceded at home; FC Bayern München 3.1 and 1.5 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: PSV in 90% of home games (9/10), FC Bayern München in 70% away (7/10). PSV have scored in 100% of home fixtures; FC Bayern München in 100% of away games.

PSV regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). FC Bayern München are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where PSV (22nd) and FC Bayern München (2nd) sit in the Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 FC Bayern München A 14 11 1 2 43:20 +23 34
35 PSV H 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
View the full Champions League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 11 4 0 30:7 +23 37
2 Paris Saint Germain 17 10 5 2 45:23 +22 35
3 FC Bayern München A 14 11 1 2 43:20 +23 34
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético de Madrid 16 7 3 6 35:28 +7 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
15 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
21 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
27 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
30 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV H 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
39 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
40 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
43 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
44 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
45 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
46 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
47 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
48 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
52 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
53 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
54 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
55 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
56 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
57 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
58 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
59 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
60 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
61 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
62 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
66 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
67 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
68 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
70 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
71 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
74 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
75 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
76 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
77 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
78 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
79 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
80 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
81 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
82 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0

Team Form

PSV have lost 20% of their home matches this season, while FC Bayern München have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

PSV have seen both teams score in 90% of home games this season, FC Bayern München in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 66% · BTTS No 34%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of PSV's home games and 70% of FC Bayern München's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

Both sides have been prolific this season. PSV have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games, FC Bayern München in 60% of away games. Goals from both ends look likely.

PSV 3.2 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game FC Bayern München 3.1 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: PSV 32 scored / 15 conceded at home · FC Bayern München 31 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

PSV regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while FC Bayern München are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

PSV win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

FC Bayern München have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H PSV: last 10 home A FC Bayern München: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between PSV and FC Bayern München. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Nov 2016
PSV
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Bayern München
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2016
Bayern München
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
PSV
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for PSV vs FC Bayern München across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value PSV 4.9 Model: 31%
Draw 4.72 Model: 22%
FC Bayern München 1.69 Model: 48%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.47 Model: 66%
No 3 Model: 34%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.09 Model: 86%
Over 2.5 1.32 Model: 70%
Over 3.5 1.96 Model: 46%
Under 1.5 8.4 Model: 14%
Under 2.5 3.45 Model: 30%
Value Under 3.5 2.03 Model: 54%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.19 Model: 90%
Over 1.5 1.99

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26 Model: 64%
Over 9.5 1.47 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.76 Model: 45%
Over 11.5 2.23 Model: 37%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value PSV 5 Model: 34%
Draw 2.75 Model: 29%
FC Bayern München 1.9 Model: 37%

Double Chance

Value PSV or Draw 2.5 Model: 52%
PSV or FC Bayern München 1.2 Model: 78%
Draw or FC Bayern München 1.14 Model: 70%

PSV Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 67%
Over 1.5 2.47 Model: 40%

FC Bayern München Goals

Over 0.5 1.06 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 1.37 Model: 55%

PSV vs FC Bayern München Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for PSV vs FC Bayern München?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: PSV see both teams score in 90% of home games, FC Bayern München in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, PSV or FC Bayern München?

FC Bayern München hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over PSV at home (70% wins) in Champions League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between PSV and FC Bayern München?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. PSV have seen BTTS in 90% of home games, FC Bayern München in 70% of away games in Champions League. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between PSV and FC Bayern München?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of PSV's home games and 70% of FC Bayern München's away games in Champions League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: PSV or FC Bayern München?

Both teams have been prolific this season. PSV have scored 2+ in 60% of home games, FC Bayern München in 60% of away games. Multiple goals from either side are possible.

Will there be many corners in the match between PSV and FC Bayern München?

Possibly. PSV regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while FC Bayern München are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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