Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Friday 30th January, 00:00 GMT

UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

UTC Cajamarca Home · 1st 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Atlético Grau Away · 2nd 1W 2D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
UTC Cajamarca 37% Draw 28% Atlético Grau 35%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with UTC Cajamarca at 50% BTTS in home games and Atlético Grau at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
37% UTC Cajamarca win 28% Draw 35% Atlético Grau win 53% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

UTC Cajamarca sit 1st in the table, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Grau are 2nd, averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. UTC Cajamarca have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Atlético Grau have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

UTC Cajamarca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Atlético Grau in 30% away (3/10). UTC Cajamarca average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Atlético Grau 0.5 and 1.5 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: UTC Cajamarca at 50% in home games (5/10), Atlético Grau at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. UTC Cajamarca see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where UTC Cajamarca (1st) and Atlético Grau (2nd) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
13 UTC Cajamarca H 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
16 Atlético Grau A 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca H 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau A 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

Atlético Grau have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while UTC Cajamarca have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UTC Cajamarca have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

UTC Cajamarca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

UTC Cajamarca have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Grau in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

UTC Cajamarca 1.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Atlético Grau 0.5 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: UTC Cajamarca 12 scored / 13 conceded at home · Atlético Grau 5 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

UTC Cajamarca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Grau in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

UTC Cajamarca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Atlético Grau have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H UTC Cajamarca: last 10 home A Atlético Grau: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between UTC Cajamarca and Atlético Grau. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Atlético Grau
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jun 2025
UTC Cajamarca
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Grau
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2024
Atlético Grau
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
UTC Cajamarca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2024
UTC Cajamarca
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlético Grau
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
15 Sep 2023
Atlético Grau
4 – 2 HT: 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Apr 2023
UTC Cajamarca
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Grau
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jul 2022
Atlético Grau
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2022
UTC Cajamarca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Grau
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Nov 2020
UTC Cajamarca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Grau
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2020
Atlético Grau
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

UTC Cajamarca 1.85 Model: 37%
Draw 3.35 Model: 28%
Value Atlético Grau 4.1 Model: 35%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.02 Model: 53%
No 1.92 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.44 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 48%
Value Over 3.5 4.3 Model: 26%
Under 1.5 3.1 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.7 Model: 52%
Under 3.5 1.27 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.45 Model: 49%
Over 9.5 1.87 Model: 37%
Over 10.5 2.26 Model: 27%
Over 11.5 3.2 Model: 19%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

UTC Cajamarca 2.75 Model: 29%
Draw 2.17 Model: 45%
Value Atlético Grau 4.33 Model: 25%

Double Chance

UTC Cajamarca or Draw 1.28 Model: 65%
UTC Cajamarca or Atlético Grau 1.33 Model: 72%
Value Draw or Atlético Grau 1.72 Model: 63%

UTC Cajamarca Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 2.08 Model: 37%

Atlético Grau Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 2.85 Model: 35%

UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with UTC Cajamarca at 50% BTTS in home games and Atlético Grau at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, UTC Cajamarca or Atlético Grau?

UTC Cajamarca have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Atlético Grau on the road (10% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between UTC Cajamarca and Atlético Grau?

Mixed. UTC Cajamarca have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UTC Cajamarca and Atlético Grau?

Uncertain. UTC Cajamarca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UTC Cajamarca or Atlético Grau?

UTC Cajamarca have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Atlético Grau's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between UTC Cajamarca and Atlético Grau?

UTC Cajamarca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Grau in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

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