Superettan · Sweden 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 14:00 BST

Värnamo vs Ljungskile Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Värnamo Home 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
Ljungskile Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Värnamo 32% Draw 25% Ljungskile 43%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Värnamo vs Ljungskile Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Värnamo see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Ljungskile in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
32% Värnamo win 25% Draw 43% Ljungskile win 59% BTTS 58% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals 65% Under 3.5 Goals

Värnamo average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Ljungskile average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Värnamo have won 20% of home games, Ljungskile 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Värnamo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Ljungskile in 50% away (5/10). Värnamo average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, Ljungskile 1.2 and 1.3 on the road.

Ljungskile regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Värnamo are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 90% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games: Värnamo at 80% at home (8/10), Ljungskile at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Värnamo and Ljungskile sit in the Superettan table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Ljungskile A 14 4 4 6 18:18 0 16
15 Värnamo H 14 3 1 10 15:31 -16 10
View the full Superettan 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Falkenberg 14 8 4 2 28:20 +8 28
2 Varberg BoIS 14 8 3 3 28:17 +11 27
3 Norrköping 14 8 2 4 23:10 +13 26
4 Landskrona 14 7 4 3 22:14 +8 25
5 Östersunds FK 14 6 4 4 22:19 +3 22
6 United Nordic 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
7 Oddevold 14 5 5 4 26:22 +4 20
8 Öster 14 6 2 6 21:23 -2 20
9 Helsingborg 14 6 2 6 26:29 -3 20
10 Sandviken 14 5 4 5 24:20 +4 19
11 Brage 14 4 4 6 26:26 0 16
12 Ljungskile A 14 4 4 6 18:18 0 16
13 Norrby 14 2 8 4 16:20 -4 14
14 Örebro 14 3 5 6 13:20 -7 14
15 Värnamo H 14 3 1 10 15:31 -16 10
16 GIF Sundsvall 14 3 0 11 11:31 -20 9

Team Form

Värnamo (20% home wins) and Ljungskile (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ljungskile regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Värnamo are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 59% · BTTS No 41%

Match Goals

Värnamo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Ljungskile in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Värnamo have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Ljungskile in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Värnamo 1.2 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Ljungskile 1.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Värnamo 12 scored / 17 conceded at home · Ljungskile 12 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Värnamo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Ljungskile (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Värnamo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Ljungskile win 6+ corners in 70% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Värnamo: last 10 home A Ljungskile: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Värnamo vs Ljungskile across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Värnamo 2.55 Model: 32%
Draw 3.4 Model: 25%
Ljungskile 2.35 Model: 43%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.53 Model: 59%
No 2.38 Model: 41%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.62 Model: 58%
Over 3.5 2.5 Model: 35%
Under 1.5 4.5 Model: 20%
Under 2.5 2.15 Model: 42%
Under 3.5 1.47 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.37
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Värnamo 3.2 Model: 27%
Draw 2.37 Model: 41%
Ljungskile 3 Model: 32%

Double Chance

Värnamo or Draw 1.53 Model: 57%
Värnamo or Ljungskile 1.28 Model: 75%
Draw or Ljungskile 1.44 Model: 68%

Värnamo Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 2.1 Model: 37%

Ljungskile Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2 Model: 46%

Värnamo vs Ljungskile Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Värnamo vs Ljungskile?

Over 8.5 Corners: Värnamo see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Ljungskile in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Värnamo or Ljungskile?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Värnamo have won 20% of home games, Ljungskile 20% away in Superettan. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Värnamo and Ljungskile?

Mixed. Värnamo have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Ljungskile in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Superettan fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Värnamo and Ljungskile?

Uncertain. Värnamo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Ljungskile in 50% of away games in Superettan. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Värnamo or Ljungskile?

Ljungskile have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Värnamo's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Värnamo and Ljungskile?

Yes. Both Värnamo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Ljungskile (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Superettan. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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