Copa Libertadores · South America 🕒 Thursday 5th February, 00:30 GMT

2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

2 de Mayo Home · 1st 2W 4D 4L last 10 home
VS
Alianza Lima Away · 2nd 4W 4D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
2 de Mayo 34% Draw 28% Alianza Lima 38%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

2 de Mayo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Alianza Lima in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
34% 2 de Mayo win 28% Draw 38% Alianza Lima win 47% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

2 de Mayo sit 1st in the table, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Alianza Lima are 2nd, averaging 0.7 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. 2 de Mayo have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Alianza Lima have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. 2 de Mayo have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Alianza Lima in 10% away. 2 de Mayo average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Alianza Lima 0.7 and 0.6 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. 2 de Mayo have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Alianza Lima in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. 2 de Mayo see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Lima in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where 2 de Mayo (1st) and Alianza Lima (2nd) sit in the Copa Libertadores table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
27 2 de Mayo H 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
42 Alianza Lima A 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
View the full Copa Libertadores 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 +9 16
2 Independiente Medellín 9 4 3 2 11:11 0 15
3 Deportes Tolima 10 4 2 4 10:8 +2 14
4 Flamengo 5 4 1 0 11:2 +9 13
5 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 +8 13
6 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 +5 13
7 Universidad Católica 6 4 1 1 8:4 +4 13
8 Cerro Porteño 6 4 1 1 6:2 +4 13
9 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 +3 12
10 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 +3 12
11 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 +5 11
12 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 +5 11
13 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 +4 11
14 Sporting Cristal 10 3 2 5 10:13 -3 11
15 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 8:6 +2 10
16 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 +1 10
17 Barcelona Guayaquil 10 3 1 6 5:14 -9 10
18 Carabobo 4 3 0 1 5:3 +2 9
19 Estudiantes 6 2 3 1 6:5 +1 9
20 UCV 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
21 Lanús 6 3 0 3 3:7 -4 9
22 Juventud 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
23 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
24 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
25 Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
26 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 +1 7
27 2 de Mayo H 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
28 Deportivo Táchira 4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
29 Universitario 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
30 O'Higgins 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
31 Club Bolívar 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
32 Botafogo 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
33 Junior FC 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
34 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
35 Bahia 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 The Strongest 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
37 Argentinos Juniors 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
38 Nacional Potosí 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
39 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 -2 3
40 Peñarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 -4 3
41 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
42 Alianza Lima A 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
43 Liverpool 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
44 Guaraní 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
45 Cusco FC 6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
46 Huachipato 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
47 Libertad 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0

Team Form

2 de Mayo have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Alianza Lima have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

2 de Mayo (40% BTTS at home) and Alianza Lima (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

2 de Mayo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Alianza Lima (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

2 de Mayo have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Alianza Lima in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

2 de Mayo 0.9 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Alianza Lima 0.7 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game
H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: 2 de Mayo 9 scored / 11 conceded at home · Alianza Lima 7 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

2 de Mayo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Lima in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

2 de Mayo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Alianza Lima have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H 2 de Mayo: last 10 home A Alianza Lima: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between 2 de Mayo and Alianza Lima. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Feb 2026
2 de Mayo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Alianza Lima
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for 2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value 2 de Mayo 3.45 Model: 34%
Draw 3.05 Model: 28%
Alianza Lima 2.12 Model: 38%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.93 Model: 47%
No 1.66 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.52 Model: 69%
Value Over 2.5 2.6 Model: 43%
Value Over 3.5 5 Model: 23%
Under 1.5 2.53 Model: 31%
Under 2.5 1.5 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.12 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 72%
Over 1.5 3.58

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.56 Model: 17%
Over 9.5 1.96 Model: 12%
Over 10.5 2.53 Model: 9%
Over 11.5 3.28 Model: 7%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

2 de Mayo 4.33 Model: 23%
Draw 2.04 Model: 49%
Alianza Lima 3 Model: 27%

Double Chance

Value 2 de Mayo or Draw 1.74 Model: 62%
2 de Mayo or Alianza Lima 1.39 Model: 72%
Draw or Alianza Lima 1.25 Model: 66%

2 de Mayo Goals

Over 0.5 1.48 Model: 65%
Value Over 1.5 3.9 Model: 31%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 1.31 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.65 Model: 34%

2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima?

Under 2.5 Goals: 2 de Mayo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Alianza Lima in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, 2 de Mayo or Alianza Lima?

Alianza Lima hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over 2 de Mayo at home (20% wins) in Copa Libertadores. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between 2 de Mayo and Alianza Lima?

Unlikely. 2 de Mayo (40% BTTS at home) and Alianza Lima (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Copa Libertadores. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between 2 de Mayo and Alianza Lima?

Unlikely. 2 de Mayo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Alianza Lima (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Copa Libertadores. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: 2 de Mayo or Alianza Lima?

Alianza Lima have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to 2 de Mayo's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between 2 de Mayo and Alianza Lima?

2 de Mayo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Alianza Lima in 30% of away games in Copa Libertadores. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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