Eliteserien · Norway 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 15:00 BST

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aalesund Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Molde Away 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aalesund 40% Draw 25% Molde 35%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Aalesund see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Molde in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
40% Aalesund win 25% Draw 35% Molde win 59% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Over 1.5 Goals 66% Under 3.5 Goals

Aalesund average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Molde average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded in away fixtures. Aalesund have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Molde have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Aalesund have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Molde are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Aalesund in 80% of home games (8/10), Molde in 60% away (6/10). Aalesund have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Molde in 80% of away games.

Aalesund regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Molde are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Aalesund and Molde sit in the Eliteserien table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Molde A 11 6 1 4 18:13 +5 19
13 Aalesund H 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
View the full Eliteserien 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Viking 10 9 0 1 29:10 +19 27
2 Tromsø 13 7 4 2 18:14 +4 25
3 Bodø / Glimt 11 7 2 2 28:11 +17 23
4 Lillestrøm 11 6 1 4 17:11 +6 19
5 Molde A 11 6 1 4 18:13 +5 19
6 HamKam 10 5 2 3 17:16 +1 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
9 Vålerenga 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
10 Fredrikstad 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 24:20 +4 13
12 KFUM 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
13 Aalesund H 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
16 Start 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7

Team Form

Molde have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Aalesund have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aalesund have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Molde in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 59% · BTTS No 41%

Match Goals

Aalesund frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Molde are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Aalesund have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Molde in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aalesund 1.8 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Molde 0.9 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Aalesund 18 scored / 15 conceded at home · Molde 9 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Aalesund (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Molde (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Aalesund have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Molde have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Aalesund: last 10 home A Molde: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aalesund and Molde. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Feb 2026
Molde
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Aalesund
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 May 2023
Aalesund
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2023
Molde
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aalesund
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Sep 2022
Molde
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Aalesund
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
16 May 2022
Aalesund
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Dec 2020
Molde
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Aalesund
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jun 2020
Aalesund
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jun 2019
Aalesund
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2019
Aalesund
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jul 2017
Aalesund
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Molde
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aalesund vs Molde across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Aalesund 3.5 Model: 40%
Draw 3.75 Model: 25%
Molde 1.91 Model: 35%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.53 Model: 59%
No 2.38 Model: 41%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19 Model: 79%
Over 2.5 1.57 Model: 56%
Over 3.5 2.35 Model: 34%
Under 1.5 4.4 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 2.3 Model: 44%
Under 3.5 1.53 Model: 66%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.25
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Aalesund 3.75 Model: 33%
Draw 2.4 Model: 39%
Molde 2.5 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Value Aalesund or Draw 1.83 Model: 65%
Aalesund or Molde 1.25 Model: 75%
Draw or Molde 1.28 Model: 60%

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 75%
Value Over 1.5 2.5 Model: 43%

Molde Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 1.72 Model: 38%

Aalesund vs Molde Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aalesund vs Molde?

Over 8.5 Corners: Aalesund see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Molde in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Aalesund or Molde?

Aalesund have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Molde on the road (20% wins) in Eliteserien. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Aalesund and Molde?

Possibly. Aalesund frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Molde are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aalesund and Molde?

Possibly. Aalesund frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Molde are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aalesund or Molde?

Aalesund have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Molde's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aalesund and Molde?

Yes. Both Aalesund (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Molde (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Eliteserien. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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