1. Division · Cyprus 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 00:00 GMT

AEL vs Aris Limassol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

AEL Home · 7th 2W 1D 7L last 10 home
VS
Aris Limassol Away · 5th 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
AEL 22% Draw 24% Aris Limassol 53%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

AEL vs Aris Limassol Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

AEL see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Aris Limassol in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
22% AEL win 24% Draw 53% Aris Limassol win 50% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
72% Under 3.5 Goals

AEL sit 7th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Aris Limassol are 5th after 17 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. AEL have won 20% of home games, Aris Limassol 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: AEL in 80% of home games, Aris Limassol in 100% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

AEL frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Aris Limassol are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. AEL see 8+ in 60% of home games, Aris Limassol in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where AEL (7th) and Aris Limassol (5th) sit in the 1. Division table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Aris Limassol A 36 14 9 13 61:45 +16 51
8 AEL H 33 13 5 15 41:46 -5 44
View the full 1. Division 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia 36 27 6 3 88:24 +64 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 +29 69
3 Apollon 36 20 7 9 52:41 +11 67
4 Pafos FC 36 18 8 10 66:38 +28 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 +8 52
6 Aris Limassol A 36 14 9 13 61:45 +16 51
7 Anorthosis 33 11 12 10 35:40 -5 45
8 AEL H 33 13 5 15 41:46 -5 44
9 Omonia Aradippou 33 12 6 15 31:42 -11 42
10 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 33 11 7 15 36:44 -8 40
11 Olympiakos 33 10 10 13 32:44 -12 40
12 Akritas 33 10 5 18 31:58 -27 35
13 Ethnikos Achna 33 10 3 20 34:53 -19 33
14 Enosis 33 1 2 30 11:80 -69 5

Team Form

AEL (20% home wins) and Aris Limassol (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AEL frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aris Limassol are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (AEL 80% at home, Aris Limassol 100% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

AEL have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Aris Limassol in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

AEL 1 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Aris Limassol 1.3 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: AEL 10 scored / 17 conceded at home · Aris Limassol 13 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Both AEL (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Aris Limassol (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

AEL have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Aris Limassol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H AEL: last 10 home A Aris Limassol: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between AEL and Aris Limassol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Jan 2026
Aris Limassol
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2025
Aris Limassol
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Feb 2025
Aris Limassol
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Nov 2024
AEL
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Aris Limassol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
18 Feb 2024
Aris Limassol
4 – 0 HT: 4-0
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Dec 2023
AEL
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Aris Limassol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Dec 2022
AEL
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2022
Aris
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jan 2022
Aris
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
AEL
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Oct 2021
AEL
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Aris
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AEL vs Aris Limassol across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value AEL 5.5 Model: 22%
Draw 3.87 Model: 24%
Aris Limassol 1.61 Model: 53%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.92 Model: 50%
No 1.96 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.95 Model: 50%
Over 3.5 3 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 2 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.36 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.82

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.38 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 1.87 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.09 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

AEL 5.5 Model: 20%
Draw 2.35 Model: 41%
Aris Limassol 2.19 Model: 39%

Double Chance

Value AEL or Draw 2.37 Model: 47%
AEL or Aris Limassol 1.24 Model: 76%
Draw or Aris Limassol 1.13 Model: 78%

AEL Goals

Over 0.5 1.62 Model: 58%
Over 1.5 4 Model: 24%

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 1.7 Model: 49%

AEL vs Aris Limassol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AEL vs Aris Limassol?

Over 1.5 Goals: AEL see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Aris Limassol in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, AEL or Aris Limassol?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. AEL have won 20% of home games, Aris Limassol 20% away in 1. Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between AEL and Aris Limassol?

Possibly. AEL frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Aris Limassol are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AEL and Aris Limassol?

Uncertain. AEL have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aris Limassol in 60% of away games in 1. Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AEL or Aris Limassol?

Aris Limassol have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to AEL's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between AEL and Aris Limassol?

AEL have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Aris Limassol in 60% of away games in 1. Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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