League One · England 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 12:30 GMT

AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

AFC Wimbledon Home · 17th 3W 1D 6L last 10 home
VS
Bolton Wanderers Away · 3rd 4W 4D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 31% Draw 27% Bolton Wanderers 43%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

AFC Wimbledon see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Bolton Wanderers in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
31% AFC Wimbledon win 27% Draw 43% Bolton Wanderers win 51% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

AFC Wimbledon sit 17th in the table after 24 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per home match this season. Bolton Wanderers are 3rd after 25 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1 conceded on the road. AFC Wimbledon have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Bolton Wanderers have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

AFC Wimbledon have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Bolton Wanderers are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: AFC Wimbledon in 60% of home games (6/10), Bolton Wanderers in 60% away (6/10). AFC Wimbledon have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Bolton Wanderers in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. AFC Wimbledon see 8+ in 80% of home games, Bolton Wanderers in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where AFC Wimbledon (17th) and Bolton Wanderers (3rd) sit in the League One table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Bolton Wanderers A 49 22 18 9 76:53 +23 84
19 AFC Wimbledon H 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
View the full League One 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 46 31 10 5 89:41 +48 103
2 Cardiff City 46 27 10 9 90:50 +40 91
3 Bolton Wanderers A 49 22 18 9 76:53 +23 84
4 Stockport County 49 24 11 14 75:62 +13 83
5 Bradford City 48 22 11 15 58:53 +5 77
6 Stevenage 48 21 12 15 49:49 0 75
7 Luton Town 46 21 11 14 68:56 +12 74
8 Plymouth Argyle 46 22 7 17 75:63 +12 73
9 Huddersfield Town 46 18 13 15 74:64 +10 67
10 Mansfield Town 46 16 17 13 62:50 +12 65
11 Wycombe Wanderers 46 17 12 17 69:58 +11 63
12 Reading 46 16 15 15 64:60 +4 63
13 Blackpool 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
14 Doncaster Rovers 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
15 Barnsley 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
16 Wigan Athletic 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
17 Burton Albion 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
18 Peterborough United 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
19 AFC Wimbledon H 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
20 Leyton Orient 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
21 Exeter City 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
22 Port Vale 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
23 Rotherham United 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
24 Northampton Town 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35

Team Form

AFC Wimbledon have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Bolton Wanderers have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

AFC Wimbledon have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Bolton Wanderers in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

AFC Wimbledon frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Bolton Wanderers are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

AFC Wimbledon have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bolton Wanderers in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

AFC Wimbledon 1.3 scored · 2.1 conceded per home game Bolton Wanderers 1.4 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: AFC Wimbledon 13 scored / 21 conceded at home · Bolton Wanderers 14 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

AFC Wimbledon regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Bolton Wanderers are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

AFC Wimbledon have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Bolton Wanderers have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H AFC Wimbledon: last 10 home A Bolton Wanderers: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Sep 2025
Bolton Wanderers
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
19 Feb 2022
Bolton Wanderers
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
14 Aug 2021
AFC Wimbledon
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Bolton Wanderers
07 Mar 2020
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
Show 3 more meetings
07 Dec 2019
Bolton Wanderers
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
AFC Wimbledon
04 Mar 2017
Bolton Wanderers
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
13 Aug 2016
AFC Wimbledon
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Bolton Wanderers

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value AFC Wimbledon 4.5 Model: 31%
Draw 3.6 Model: 27%
Bolton Wanderers 1.98 Model: 43%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95 Model: 51%
No 2 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 2.18 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 4.1 Model: 26%
Under 1.5 3.55 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.84 Model: 54%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.43 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29 Model: 51%
Over 9.5 1.43 Model: 39%
Over 10.5 2.13 Model: 28%
Over 11.5 2.3 Model: 20%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value AFC Wimbledon 5.07 Model: 23%
Draw 2.04 Model: 45%
Bolton Wanderers 2.53 Model: 32%

Double Chance

Value AFC Wimbledon or Draw 1.96 Model: 57%
AFC Wimbledon or Bolton Wanderers 1.32 Model: 74%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers 1.24 Model: 69%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 1.59 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 3.82 Model: 30%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 2.09 Model: 39%

AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?

Over 8.5 Corners: AFC Wimbledon see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Bolton Wanderers in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, AFC Wimbledon or Bolton Wanderers?

Bolton Wanderers hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over AFC Wimbledon at home (30% wins) in League One. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers?

Mixed. AFC Wimbledon have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Bolton Wanderers in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this League One fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers?

Possibly. AFC Wimbledon frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Bolton Wanderers are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AFC Wimbledon or Bolton Wanderers?

AFC Wimbledon have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Bolton Wanderers's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers?

Possibly. AFC Wimbledon regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Bolton Wanderers are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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