Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 8th July, 01:00 BST

Aucas vs Guayaquil City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aucas Home · 6th 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Guayaquil City Away · 12th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aucas 62% Draw 23% Guayaquil City 15%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Aucas vs Guayaquil City Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
62% Aucas win 23% Draw 15% Guayaquil City win 47% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

Aucas sit 6th in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Guayaquil City are 12th after 16 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Aucas have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Guayaquil City side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Aucas have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Guayaquil City in 40% away. Aucas average 1.4 scored and 1 conceded at home, Guayaquil City 0.9 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Aucas at 50% in home games (5/10), Guayaquil City at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Aucas see 8+ in 70% of home games, Guayaquil City in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Aucas (6th) and Guayaquil City (12th) sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Aucas H 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
11 Guayaquil City A 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 LDU Quito 16 8 3 5 19:13 +6 27
3 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
6 Aucas H 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Orense 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City A 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

Aucas hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Guayaquil City have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aucas have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Aucas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Aucas have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Guayaquil City in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aucas 1.4 scored · 1 conceded per home game Guayaquil City 0.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Aucas 14 scored / 10 conceded at home · Guayaquil City 9 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Aucas (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Guayaquil City (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Aucas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Guayaquil City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aucas vs Guayaquil City across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Aucas 1.45 Model: 62%
Draw 4 Model: 23%
Guayaquil City 7 Model: 15%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 47%
No 1.73 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 1.9 Model: 47%
Over 3.5 3.3 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 3.7 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.9 Model: 53%
Under 3.5 1.34 Model: 76%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.74

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36 Model: 50%
Over 9.5 1.57 Model: 39%
Over 10.5 2.51 Model: 29%
Over 11.5 4 Model: 20%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Aucas 1.96 Model: 48%
Draw 2.17 Model: 39%
Guayaquil City 6.45 Model: 13%

Double Chance

Aucas or Draw 1.08 Model: 85%
Aucas or Guayaquil City 1.2 Model: 76%
Draw or Guayaquil City 2.52 Model: 38%

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5 1.09 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 1.64 Model: 53%

Guayaquil City Goals

Over 0.5 1.8 Model: 50%
Over 1.5 4.7 Model: 16%

Aucas vs Guayaquil City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Guayaquil City?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Aucas or Guayaquil City?

Aucas hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Guayaquil City have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aucas and Guayaquil City?

Mixed. Aucas have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aucas and Guayaquil City?

Uncertain. Aucas have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aucas or Guayaquil City?

Aucas have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Guayaquil City's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aucas and Guayaquil City?

Aucas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Guayaquil City in 20% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

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