Npfl · Nigeria 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 15:00 GMT

Bendel Insurance vs Barau Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bendel Insurance Home · 8th 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Barau Away · 17th 0W 5D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Bendel Insurance 62% Draw 26% Barau 13%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Bendel Insurance vs Barau Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Bendel Insurance have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Barau in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
62% Bendel Insurance win 26% Draw 13% Barau win 37% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look

Bendel Insurance sit 8th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Barau are 17th after 18 games, averaging 0.1 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. Bendel Insurance have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Barau side who've won 0/10 away (0%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Bendel Insurance have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Barau in 10% away. Bendel Insurance average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Barau 0.1 and 0.7 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Bendel Insurance have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Barau in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Bendel Insurance see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Barau in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Bendel Insurance (8th) and Barau (17th) sit in the Npfl table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Bendel Insurance H 38 14 14 10 44:38 +6 56
8 Barau A 38 13 13 12 34:30 +4 52
View the full Npfl 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Enugu Rangers 38 19 11 8 47:27 +20 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 +13 67
3 Shooting Stars 38 18 6 14 41:40 +1 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 +4 58
5 Bendel Insurance H 38 14 14 10 44:38 +6 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 +3 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
8 Barau A 38 13 13 12 34:30 +4 52
9 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
10 Katsina United 37 14 9 14 32:35 -3 51
11 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
12 Kwara United 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
13 Enyimba 38 13 10 15 44:42 +2 49
14 Kun Khalifat 37 13 10 14 42:40 +2 49
15 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
16 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 +1 48
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 37 12 8 17 27:46 -19 44
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
20 Wikki Tourist 37 9 12 16 32:44 -12 39

Team Form

Bendel Insurance have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Barau's 0% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bendel Insurance (40% BTTS at home) and Barau (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 37% · BTTS No 63%

Match Goals

Bendel Insurance have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Barau in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Bendel Insurance have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Barau in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Bendel Insurance 1.8 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Barau 0.1 scored · 0.7 conceded per away game
H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Bendel Insurance 18 scored / 6 conceded at home · Barau 1 scored / 7 conceded away

Match Corners

Bendel Insurance have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Barau in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Bendel Insurance have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Barau have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Bendel Insurance — last 10 home A Barau — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bendel Insurance and Barau. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Sep 2025
Barau
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bendel Insurance

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bendel Insurance vs Barau across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Bendel Insurance 1.55 Model: 62%
Draw 3.35 Model: 26%
Barau 6.14 Model: 13%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.71 Model: 37%
No 1.39 Model: 63%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.69 Model: 64%
Value Over 2.5 3.15 Model: 38%
Value Over 3.5 6.88 Model: 18%
Under 1.5 2.28 Model: 36%
Under 2.5 1.4 Model: 62%
Under 3.5 1.15 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.59 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 3.72
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Bendel Insurance 2.25 Model: 44%
Draw 1.88 Model: 45%
Barau 6.5 Model: 11%

Double Chance

Bendel Insurance or Draw 1.05 Model: 87%
Bendel Insurance or Barau 1.23 Model: 74%
Draw or Barau 2.19 Model: 38%

Bendel Insurance Goals

Over 0.5 1.2 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.14 Model: 47%

Barau Goals

Over 0.5 2.17 Model: 43%
Over 1.5 6.1 Model: 12%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined

Bendel Insurance vs Barau Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Barau?

Under 2.5 Goals — Bendel Insurance have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Barau in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Bendel Insurance or Barau?

Bendel Insurance hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Npfl this season, while Barau have won only 0% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Bendel Insurance and Barau?

Unlikely — Bendel Insurance (40% BTTS at home) and Barau (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Npfl. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bendel Insurance and Barau?

Uncertain — Bendel Insurance have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Barau in 10% of away games in Npfl. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bendel Insurance or Barau?

Bendel Insurance have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Barau's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bendel Insurance and Barau?

Bendel Insurance have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Barau in 40% of away games in Npfl. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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