Primera B Nacional · Argentina 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 19:30 BST

Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Defensores de Belgrano Home 2W 7D 1L last 10 home

VS

Deportivo Morón Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away

Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano 30% Draw 36% Deportivo Morón 34%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Defensores de Belgrano have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Deportivo Morón in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says

30% Defensores de Belgrano win 36% Draw 34% Deportivo Morón win 34% BTTS 24% Over 2.5 Goals 0-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

76% Under 2.5 Goals

Defensores de Belgrano average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Deportivo Morón average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Defensores de Belgrano have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Deportivo Morón have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Defensores de Belgrano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games this season (1/10); Deportivo Morón in 50% away (5/10). Defensores de Belgrano average 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Deportivo Morón 1.3 and 1.1 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Defensores de Belgrano at 30% in home games (3/10), Deportivo Morón at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Defensores de Belgrano see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Morón sit in the Primera B Nacional table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Morón A	17	10	4	3	26:14	+12	34
26	Defensores de Belgrano H	17	4	8	5	12:15	-3	20

View the full Primera B Nacional 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Morón A	17	10	4	3	26:14	+12	34
2	Atlanta	18	10	3	5	23:13	+10	33
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	17	10	3	4	27:19	+8	33
4	Club Ferro Carril Oeste	17	9	4	4	19:13	+6	31
5	Los Andes	17	7	8	2	15:4	+11	29
6	Club Atletico Colón	17	7	8	2	21:13	+8	29
7	Tristán Suárez	17	7	8	2	16:10	+6	29
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	18	6	9	3	15:12	+3	27
9	Atlético Rafaela	17	7	5	5	14:12	+2	26
10	Temperley	17	6	8	3	17:16	+1	26
11	Estudiantes de Buenos Aires	18	7	5	6	14:15	-1	26
12	Deportivo Madryn	17	6	7	4	22:17	+5	25
13	Godoy Cruz	17	6	7	4	18:13	+5	25
14	Midland	17	7	4	6	18:13	+5	25
15	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16:19	-3	24
16	Colegiales	18	6	5	7	17:17	0	23
17	Almirante Brown	17	6	5	6	10:11	-1	23
18	San Martín de Tucumán	17	5	7	5	14:14	0	22
19	Almagro	18	6	4	8	15:19	-4	22
20	Deportivo Maipú	17	6	3	8	22:20	+2	21
21	Quilmes Atlético Club	18	5	6	7	16:14	+2	21
22	Nueva Chicago	16	5	6	5	15:16	-1	21
23	San Martín San Juan	16	5	5	6	16:18	-2	20
24	San Telmo	18	4	8	6	14:16	-2	20
25	Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta	17	5	5	7	16:19	-3	20
26	Defensores de Belgrano H	17	4	8	5	12:15	-3	20
27	Patronato	17	4	8	5	11:14	-3	20
28	Racing de Córdoba	18	5	5	8	16:21	-5	20
29	Güemes	17	5	4	8	17:27	-10	19
30	Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors	17	5	3	9	14:20	-6	18
31	Agropecuario Argentino	17	4	6	7	14:20	-6	18
32	Acassuso	18	5	3	10	12:19	-7	18
33	CA Mitre	17	3	8	6	17:20	-3	17
34	All Boys	17	3	7	7	10:18	-8	16
35	Central Norte de Salta	17	3	6	8	10:16	-6	15
36	Chaco For Ever	17	1	6	10	12:24	-12	9

Team Form

Deportivo Morón have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Defensores de Belgrano have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Won

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Drawn

H

7/10 (70%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Lost

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Defensores de Belgrano have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 34% · BTTS No 66%

Match Goals

Defensores de Belgrano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Defensores de Belgrano have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Deportivo Morón in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Defensores de Belgrano 0.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Deportivo Morón 1.3 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Defensores de Belgrano 6 scored / 6 conceded at home · Deportivo Morón 13 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Defensores de Belgrano have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Defensores de Belgrano have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Deportivo Morón have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Defensores de Belgrano: last 10 home A Deportivo Morón: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón?

Under 3.5 Goals: Defensores de Belgrano have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, Deportivo Morón in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Defensores de Belgrano or Deportivo Morón?

Deportivo Morón hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Defensores de Belgrano at home (20% wins) in Primera B Nacional. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Morón?

Mixed. Defensores de Belgrano have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera B Nacional fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Morón?

Uncertain. Defensores de Belgrano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 50% of away games in Primera B Nacional. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Defensores de Belgrano or Deportivo Morón?

Deportivo Morón have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Defensores de Belgrano's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Morón?

Defensores de Belgrano have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Deportivo Morón in 20% of away games in Primera B Nacional. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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