Premier Division · Republic of Ireland 🕒 Friday 3rd July, 19:45 BST

Derry City vs Waterford United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Derry City Home 3W 5D 2L last 10 home

VS

Waterford United Away 0W 2D 8L last 10 away

Win Probability

Derry City 64% Draw 21% Waterford United 15%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Derry City vs Waterford United Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Derry City see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Waterford United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says

64% Derry City win 21% Draw 15% Waterford United win 52% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

79% Over 1.5 Goals 66% Under 3.5 Goals

Derry City average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Waterford United average 1.1 scored and 2.8 conceded in away fixtures. Derry City have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Waterford United have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Derry City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Waterford United in 60% away (6/10). Derry City average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Waterford United 1.1 and 2.8 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Derry City in 60% of home games (6/10), Waterford United in 60% away (6/10). Derry City have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Waterford United in 60% of away games.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games: Derry City at 80% at home (8/10), Waterford United at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

League Table

Where Derry City and Waterford United sit in the Premier Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
6	Derry City H	21	5	10	6	26:24	+2	25
10	Waterford United A	20	2	8	10	25:40	-15	14

View the full Premier Division 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	21	12	4	5	32:19	+13	40
2	St Patrick's	20	10	5	5	33:17	+16	35
3	Bohemians	21	9	7	5	32:25	+7	34
4	Dundalk	20	8	8	4	32:28	+4	32
5	Shelbourne	20	7	8	5	29:27	+2	29
6	Derry City H	21	5	10	6	26:24	+2	25
7	Galway United	19	5	6	8	26:30	-4	21
8	Drogheda United	20	5	6	9	25:34	-9	21
9	Sligo Rovers	20	5	4	11	15:31	-16	19
10	Waterford United A	20	2	8	10	25:40	-15	14

Team Form

Waterford United have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Derry City have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Won

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Drawn

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derry City have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Waterford United in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Derry City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Waterford United in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Derry City have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Waterford United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Derry City 1.5 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Waterford United 1.1 scored · 2.8 conceded per away game

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Season totals: Derry City 15 scored / 11 conceded at home · Waterford United 11 scored / 28 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Derry City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Waterford United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

10/10 (100%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Derry City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Waterford United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Derry City: last 10 home A Waterford United: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

8/10 (80%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Derry City vs Waterford United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford United?

Over 8.5 Corners: Derry City see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Waterford United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Derry City or Waterford United?

Derry City have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Waterford United on the road (0% wins) in Premier Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Derry City and Waterford United?

Mixed. Derry City have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Waterford United in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Derry City and Waterford United?

Uncertain. Derry City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Waterford United in 60% of away games in Premier Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Derry City or Waterford United?

Waterford United have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Derry City's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Derry City and Waterford United?

Yes. Both Derry City (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Waterford United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier Division. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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