Eliteserien · Norway 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 13:00 BST

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Fredrikstad Home 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Lillestrøm Away 6W 1D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Fredrikstad 39% Draw 24% Lillestrøm 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Fredrikstad see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Lillestrøm in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
39% Fredrikstad win 24% Draw 36% Lillestrøm win 60% BTTS 58% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals

Fredrikstad average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Lillestrøm average 1.7 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Lillestrøm carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Fredrikstad have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Fredrikstad in 90% of home games, Lillestrøm in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Fredrikstad frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Lillestrøm are lower on the road (20%, 2/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Fredrikstad see 8+ in 80% of home games, Lillestrøm in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Fredrikstad and Lillestrøm sit in the Eliteserien table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Lillestrøm A 11 6 1 4 17:11 +6 19
10 Fredrikstad H 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
View the full Eliteserien 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Viking 10 9 0 1 29:10 +19 27
2 Tromsø 13 7 4 2 18:14 +4 25
3 Bodø / Glimt 11 7 2 2 28:11 +17 23
4 Lillestrøm A 11 6 1 4 17:11 +6 19
5 Molde 11 6 1 4 18:13 +5 19
6 HamKam 10 5 2 3 17:16 +1 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
9 Vålerenga 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
10 Fredrikstad H 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 24:20 +4 13
12 KFUM 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
13 Aalesund 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
16 Start 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7

Team Form

Lillestrøm have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Fredrikstad have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fredrikstad frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Lillestrøm are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 60% · BTTS No 40%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Fredrikstad 90% at home, Lillestrøm 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Fredrikstad have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Lillestrøm in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Fredrikstad 1.6 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Lillestrøm 1.7 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Fredrikstad 16 scored / 11 conceded at home · Lillestrøm 17 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Lillestrøm frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Fredrikstad are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Fredrikstad have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Lillestrøm have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Fredrikstad: last 10 home A Lillestrøm: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Fredrikstad 2.7 Model: 39%
Draw 3.4 Model: 24%
Lillestrøm 2.38 Model: 36%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.62 Model: 60%
No 2.2 Model: 40%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.72 Model: 58%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 35%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 20%
Under 2.5 2.05 Model: 42%
Under 3.5 1.42 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Fredrikstad 3.25 Model: 29%
Draw 2.25 Model: 40%
Lillestrøm 3 Model: 30%

Double Chance

Fredrikstad or Draw 1.53 Model: 64%
Fredrikstad or Lillestrøm 1.3 Model: 76%
Draw or Lillestrøm 1.44 Model: 61%

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 2.25 Model: 42%

Lillestrøm Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2.1 Model: 40%

Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fredrikstad vs Lillestrøm?

Over 8.5 Corners: Fredrikstad see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Lillestrøm in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Fredrikstad or Lillestrøm?

Lillestrøm hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Fredrikstad at home (50% wins) in Eliteserien. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Fredrikstad and Lillestrøm?

Possibly. Fredrikstad frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Lillestrøm are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fredrikstad and Lillestrøm?

Uncertain. Fredrikstad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Lillestrøm in 30% of away games in Eliteserien. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fredrikstad or Lillestrøm?

Lillestrøm have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Fredrikstad's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fredrikstad and Lillestrøm?

Possibly. Lillestrøm frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Fredrikstad are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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