World Cup · World 🕒 Monday 29th June, 18:00 BST

Brazil vs Japan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil Home · 1st 6W 3D 0L last 9 home
VS
Japan Away · 2nd 6W 1D 1L last 8 away
Win Probability
Brazil 43% Draw 27% Japan 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Brazil vs Japan Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Brazil see 2+ goals in 77.78% of home games, Japan in 75% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
43% Brazil win 27% Draw 30% Japan win 47% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Under 3.5 Goals

Brazil sit 1st in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Japan are 2nd after 3 games, averaging 2.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Brazil have won 6/9 home games (67%) this season; Japan have won 6/8 on the road (75%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Brazil in 78% of home games, Japan in 75% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Brazil at 44% in home games (4/9), Japan at 25% away (2/8). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Brazil see 9+ corners in 22% of home games, Japan in 38% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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Team Form

Japan have lost 12.5% of their away matches this season, while Brazil have been more solid at home (0% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Won
H
6/9 (66.67%)
A
6/8 (75%)
Drawn
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Lost
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Brazil have seen both teams score in 44.44% of home games, Japan in 25% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/9 (100%)
A
7/8 (87.5%)
Conceded
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Brazil 77.78% at home, Japan 75% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/9 (77.78%)
A
6/8 (75%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
5/8 (62.5%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
5/8 (62.5%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/9 (100%)
A
8/8 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/8 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/9 (55.56%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/9 (88.89%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)

Team Goals

Brazil have scored 2+ goals in 33.33% of home games this season, Japan in 50% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Brazil 1.89 scored · 0.44 conceded per home game Japan 2.63 scored · 0.5 conceded per away game
H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
6/8 (75%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/9 (100%)
A
7/8 (87.5%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
6/8 (75%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
4/8 (50%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/8 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/8 (0%)

Season totals: Brazil 17 scored / 4 conceded at home · Japan 21 scored / 4 conceded away

Match Corners

Brazil have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 22.22% of home games, Japan in 62.5% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
5/8 (62.5%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
7/8 (87.5%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)

Team Corners

Brazil have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 11.11% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Japan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 12.5% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 25% of away matches.

H Brazil: last 9 home A Japan: last 8 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/9 (0%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
5/8 (62.5%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/9 (44.44%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
0/8 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
3/8 (37.5%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/9 (0%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/9 (0%)
A
2/8 (25%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/8 (12.5%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Brazil vs Japan across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Brazil 1.74 Model: 43%
Value Draw 3.95 Model: 27%
Value Japan 5.6 Model: 30%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.04 Model: 47%
No 1.91 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38 Model: 68%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 42%
Over 3.5 3.86 Model: 21%
Value Under 1.5 3.5 Model: 32%
Value Under 2.5 1.86 Model: 58%
Value Under 3.5 1.32 Model: 79%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.66
Over 9.5 2.1
Over 10.5 2.75
Over 11.5 4
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Brazil 2.25
Draw 2.2
Japan 5.5

Double Chance

Brazil or Draw 1.14 Model: 70%
Brazil or Japan 1.28 Model: 73%
Value Draw or Japan 2.1 Model: 57%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 1.83 Model: 37%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 1.66 Model: 62%
Value Over 1.5 4.33 Model: 27%

Brazil vs Japan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Brazil vs Japan?

Over 1.5 Goals: Brazil see 2+ goals in 77.78% of home games, Japan in 75% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Brazil or Japan?

Japan hold a slight form advantage away (75% wins) over Brazil at home (66.67% wins) in World Cup. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Brazil and Japan?

Mixed. Brazil have seen BTTS in 44.44% of home games, Japan in 25% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this World Cup fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Brazil and Japan?

Uncertain. Brazil have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 44.44% of home games, Japan in 62.5% of away games in World Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Brazil or Japan?

Japan have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 50% of away games compared to Brazil's 33.33% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Brazil and Japan?

Brazil have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 22.22% of home games, Japan in 62.5% of away games in World Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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