Genoa vs AC Milan

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Genoa average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. AC Milan average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level — Genoa have won 50% of home games, AC Milan 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Genoa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); AC Milan in 30% away (3/10). Genoa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, AC Milan 1.3 and 0.8 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Genoa at 50% in home games (5/10), AC Milan at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Genoa see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, AC Milan in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Genoa have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, AC Milan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Genoa (th) and AC Milan (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 85:31 +54 85
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52:33 +19 70
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 59:30 +29 68
4 AC Milan A 35 19 10 6 48:29 +19 67
5 Roma 35 20 4 11 52:29 +23 64
6 Como 35 17 11 7 59:28 +31 62
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47:32 +15 55
8 Lazio 36 13 12 11 39:37 +2 51
9 Udinese 36 14 8 14 45:46 -1 50
10 Bologna 35 14 7 14 42:41 +1 49
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 44:46 -2 49
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 41:59 -18 44
13 Parma 35 10 12 13 25:42 -17 42
14 Genoa H 35 10 10 15 40:48 -8 40
15 Fiorentina 35 8 13 14 38:49 -11 37
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 36:51 -15 37
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 24:48 -24 32
18 Cremonese 35 6 10 19 27:53 -26 28
19 Hellas Verona 35 3 11 21 24:57 -33 20
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25:63 -38 18

Team Form

Genoa (50% home wins) and AC Milan (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Genoa have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Genoa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Genoa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, AC Milan in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Genoa have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Genoa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

AC Milan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Genoa (Home Form) AC Milan (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Genoa vs AC Milan across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Genoa 4.6
Draw 3.92
AC Milan 1.84

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Paide 15:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Paide have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • New York City vs Columbus Crew 21:30 BST | Major League Soccer, United States New York City have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · Columbus Crew have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    85% combined
  • Kwun Tong vs Hoi King 08:30 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Kwun Tong have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Hoi King have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    82% combined
  • Jagiellonia U19 vs Zaglebie U19 14:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Jagiellonia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 home matches this season · Zaglebie U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan?

Under 3.5 Goals — Genoa have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, AC Milan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Genoa or AC Milan?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Genoa have won 50% of home games, AC Milan 50% away in Serie A. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Genoa and AC Milan?

Mixed — Genoa have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Genoa and AC Milan?

Uncertain — Genoa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, AC Milan in 30% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Genoa or AC Milan?

Genoa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to AC Milan's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Genoa and AC Milan?

Genoa have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, AC Milan in 40% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Inter vs Hellas Verona

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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