Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 14:00 BST

Grobiņa vs Tukums Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Grobiņa Home 1W 3D 6L last 10 home
VS
Tukums Away 1W 5D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Grobiņa 34% Draw 26% Tukums 39%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Grobiņa vs Tukums Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Grobiņa see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Tukums in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
34% Grobiņa win 26% Draw 39% Tukums win 54% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Grobiņa average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Tukums average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Grobiņa have won 10% of home games, Tukums 10% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Grobiņa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Tukums in 60% away (6/10). Grobiņa average 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, Tukums 1.2 and 1.8 on the road.

Tukums regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Grobiņa are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Tukums are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 90% of away fixtures, 9/10). Grobiņa are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Grobiņa and Tukums sit in the Virsliga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 Tukums A 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
8 Grobiņa H 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
View the full Virsliga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 18 15 1 2 42:14 +28 46
2 Riga 18 14 3 1 56:19 +37 45
3 Auda 18 11 2 5 34:23 +11 35
4 Liepāja 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
5 FC Daugavpils 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
6 Super Nova 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
7 Tukums A 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
8 Grobiņa H 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
9 FS Jelgava 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
10 Ogre United 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7

Team Form

Grobiņa (10% home wins) and Tukums (10% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tukums regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Grobiņa are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Grobiņa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Tukums in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Grobiņa have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tukums in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Grobiņa 0.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per home game Tukums 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Grobiņa 6 scored / 16 conceded at home · Tukums 12 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Tukums frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Grobiņa are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Grobiņa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Tukums have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Grobiņa: last 10 home A Tukums: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Grobiņa vs Tukums Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs Tukums?

Over 8.5 Corners: Grobiņa see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Tukums in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Grobiņa or Tukums?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Grobiņa have won 10% of home games, Tukums 10% away in Virsliga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Grobiņa and Tukums?

Possibly. Tukums regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Grobiņa are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grobiņa and Tukums?

Uncertain. Grobiņa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Tukums in 60% of away games in Virsliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grobiņa or Tukums?

Tukums have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Grobiņa's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grobiņa and Tukums?

Possibly. Tukums frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Grobiņa are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Monday 22nd June, 16:00 BST

Grobiņa vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Thursday 25th June, 15:00 BST

FC Daugavpils vs Riga

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🕒 Thursday 25th June, 16:00 BST

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava

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🕒 Thursday 25th June, 18:00 BST

Ogre United vs Tukums

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Friday 26th June, 16:00 BST

Liepāja vs Rīgas FS

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Friday 26th June, 17:00 BST

FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Monday 29th June, 16:00 BST

Auda vs Riga

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Monday 29th June, 16:00 BST

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