K League 1 Β· South Korea πŸ•’ Sunday 5th July, 11:30 BST

Gwangju vs Ulsan HD Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Gwangju Home 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
Ulsan HD Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Gwangju 20% Draw 27% Ulsan HD 53%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Gwangju vs Ulsan HD Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Gwangju at 30% BTTS in home games and Ulsan HD at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
20% Gwangju win 27% Draw 53% Ulsan HD win 45% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Gwangju average 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Ulsan HD average 1 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Gwangju have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Ulsan HD have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Gwangju have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Ulsan HD in 40% away. Gwangju average 1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, Ulsan HD 1 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Gwangju at 30% in home games (3/10), Ulsan HD at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Gwangju see 8+ in 60% of home games, Ulsan HD in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Gwangju and Ulsan HD sit in the K League 1 table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Ulsan HD A 15 8 2 5 22:20 +2 26
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7
View the full K League 1 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Seoul 15 10 2 3 27:12 +15 32
2 Jeonbuk Motors 15 7 5 3 21:12 +9 26
3 Ulsan HD A 15 8 2 5 22:20 +2 26
4 Gangwon 15 6 6 3 19:10 +9 24
5 Pohang Steelers 15 6 4 5 12:12 0 22
6 Incheon United 15 6 3 6 21:17 +4 21
7 Anyang 15 4 8 3 19:16 +3 20
8 Jeju United 15 5 3 7 13:16 -3 18
9 Bucheon 1995 15 4 5 6 11:15 -4 17
10 Daejeon Citizen 15 4 4 7 17:16 +1 16
11 Gimcheon Sangmu 15 2 8 5 15:21 -6 14
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7

Team Form

Gwangju have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Ulsan HD have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gwangju have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Ulsan HD in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% Β· BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Gwangju have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Ulsan HD in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Gwangju have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Ulsan HD in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Gwangju 1 scored Β· 1.6 conceded per home game Ulsan HD 1 scored Β· 1.3 conceded per away game
H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Gwangju 10 scored / 16 conceded at home Β· Ulsan HD 10 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Gwangju (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Ulsan HD (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Gwangju have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Ulsan HD have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Ulsan HD: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Gwangju vs Ulsan HD Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gwangju vs Ulsan HD?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Gwangju at 30% BTTS in home games and Ulsan HD at 50% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Gwangju or Ulsan HD?

Ulsan HD hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Gwangju at home (30% wins) in K League 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Gwangju and Ulsan HD?

Mixed. Gwangju have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Ulsan HD in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this K League 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gwangju and Ulsan HD?

Uncertain. Gwangju have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Ulsan HD in 40% of away games in K League 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gwangju or Ulsan HD?

Gwangju have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Ulsan HD's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gwangju and Ulsan HD?

Gwangju have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Ulsan HD in 50% of away games in K League 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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