Premier League · Malta 🕒 Saturday 24th January, 00:00 GMT

Gzira United vs Birkirkara Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Gzira United Home · 1st 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Birkirkara Away · 2nd 0W 4D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Gzira United 51% Draw 27% Birkirkara 21%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Gzira United vs Birkirkara Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Gzira United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Birkirkara in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
51% Gzira United win 27% Draw 21% Birkirkara win 46% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

Gzira United sit 1st in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Birkirkara are 2nd after 16 games, averaging 0.2 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Gzira United have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Birkirkara have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Gzira United have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Birkirkara in 30% away. Gzira United average 1.1 scored and 1 conceded at home, Birkirkara 0.2 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Gzira United at 50% in home games (5/10), Birkirkara at 20% away (2/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Gzira United see 8+ in 60% of home games, Birkirkara in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Gzira United (1st) and Birkirkara (2nd) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Gzira United H 32 12 7 13 38:43 -5 43
8 Birkirkara A 32 8 11 13 29:36 -7 35
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Floriana 34 22 8 4 53:28 +25 74
2 Hamrun Spartans 34 19 8 7 55:23 +32 65
3 Marsaxlokk 34 17 8 9 45:39 +6 59
4 Valletta 34 14 12 8 41:26 +15 54
5 Sliema Wanderers 32 12 12 8 37:36 +1 48
6 Gzira United H 32 12 7 13 38:43 -5 43
7 Hibernians 32 10 9 13 45:49 -4 39
8 Birkirkara A 32 8 11 13 29:36 -7 35
9 Naxxar Lions 33 9 8 16 41:52 -11 35
10 St. Patrick 34 7 13 14 45:47 -2 34
11 Mosta 33 7 8 18 35:58 -23 29
12 Tarxien Rainbows 34 5 10 19 35:62 -27 25

Team Form

Birkirkara have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Gzira United have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gzira United have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Birkirkara in 20% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Gzira United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Birkirkara in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Gzira United have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Birkirkara in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Gzira United 1.1 scored · 1 conceded per home game Birkirkara 0.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Gzira United 11 scored / 10 conceded at home · Birkirkara 2 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Gzira United (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Birkirkara (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Gzira United have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Birkirkara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Gzira United: last 10 home A Birkirkara: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Gzira United and Birkirkara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Aug 2025
Birkirkara
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gzira United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jan 2025
Birkirkara
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Gzira United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Oct 2024
Gzira United
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Birkirkara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2024
Gzira United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Birkirkara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
16 Dec 2023
Birkirkara
3 – 2 HT: 1-0
Gzira United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jun 2023
Gzira United
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
Birkirkara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2023
Gzira United
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Birkirkara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2022
Birkirkara
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Gzira United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Apr 2022
Gzira United
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Birkirkara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jan 2022
Birkirkara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gzira United
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Gzira United vs Birkirkara across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Gzira United 2.87 Model: 51%
Draw 3.5 Model: 27%
Birkirkara 2.2 Model: 21%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85 Model: 46%
No 1.85 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 43%
Under 2.5 1.7 Model: 57%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Gzira United 3.75 Model: 36%
Draw 2.05 Model: 46%
Birkirkara 2.87 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Value Gzira United or Draw 1.63 Model: 78%
Gzira United or Birkirkara 1.22 Model: 73%
Draw or Birkirkara 1.33 Model: 49%

Gzira United Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 76%
Value Over 1.5 3.07 Model: 44%

Birkirkara Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 2.34 Model: 21%

Gzira United vs Birkirkara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Birkirkara?

Under 2.5 Goals: Gzira United have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Birkirkara in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Gzira United or Birkirkara?

Gzira United have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Birkirkara on the road (0% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Gzira United and Birkirkara?

Mixed. Gzira United have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Birkirkara in 20% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gzira United and Birkirkara?

Uncertain. Gzira United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Birkirkara in 30% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gzira United or Birkirkara?

Gzira United have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Birkirkara's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gzira United and Birkirkara?

Gzira United have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Birkirkara in 30% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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