Premier League · Malta 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 13:00 GMT

Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Hamrun Spartans Home · 1st 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Naxxar Lions Away · 2nd 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Hamrun Spartans 70% Draw 19% Naxxar Lions 12%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Hamrun Spartans see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Naxxar Lions in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
70% Hamrun Spartans win 19% Draw 12% Naxxar Lions win 53% BTTS 60% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals

Hamrun Spartans sit 1st in the table after 17 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Naxxar Lions are 2nd after 17 games, averaging 1 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Hamrun Spartans have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Naxxar Lions side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Naxxar Lions have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Hamrun Spartans are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 2.1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Naxxar Lions regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Hamrun Spartans are lower at home (20%, 2/10). They've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Hamrun Spartans regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Naxxar Lions are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where Hamrun Spartans (1st) and Naxxar Lions (2nd) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Hamrun Spartans H 34 19 8 7 55:23 +32 65
9 Naxxar Lions A 33 9 8 16 41:52 -11 35
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Floriana 34 22 8 4 53:28 +25 74
2 Hamrun Spartans H 34 19 8 7 55:23 +32 65
3 Marsaxlokk 34 17 8 9 45:39 +6 59
4 Valletta 34 14 12 8 41:26 +15 54
5 Sliema Wanderers 32 12 12 8 37:36 +1 48
6 Gzira United 32 12 7 13 38:43 -5 43
7 Hibernians 32 10 9 13 45:49 -4 39
8 Birkirkara 32 8 11 13 29:36 -7 35
9 Naxxar Lions A 33 9 8 16 41:52 -11 35
10 St. Patrick 34 7 13 14 45:47 -2 34
11 Mosta 33 7 8 18 35:58 -23 29
12 Tarxien Rainbows 34 5 10 19 35:62 -27 25

Team Form

Hamrun Spartans hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Naxxar Lions have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Naxxar Lions regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Hamrun Spartans are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Naxxar Lions regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Hamrun Spartans are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Hamrun Spartans have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Naxxar Lions in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Hamrun Spartans 2.1 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game Naxxar Lions 1 scored · 2 conceded per away game
H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Hamrun Spartans 21 scored / 4 conceded at home · Naxxar Lions 10 scored / 20 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Hamrun Spartans (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Naxxar Lions (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Hamrun Spartans win 6+ corners in 80% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Naxxar Lions have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Hamrun Spartans: last 10 home A Naxxar Lions: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
10/10 (100%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Oct 2025
Naxxar Lions
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Hamrun Spartans
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2025
Hamrun Spartans
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Naxxar Lions
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Sep 2024
Naxxar Lions
0 – 6 HT: 0-4
Hamrun Spartans
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Feb 2024
Hamrun Spartans
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Naxxar Lions
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
23 Sep 2023
Naxxar Lions
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2022
Hamrun Spartans
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Naxxar Lions
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Mar 2018
Naxxar Lions
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Hamrun Spartans
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Nov 2017
Hamrun Spartans
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Naxxar Lions
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Apr 2007
Hamrun Spartans
6 – 0 HT: 0-0
Naxxar Lions
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Oct 2006
Naxxar Lions
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Hamrun Spartans
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Hamrun Spartans 1.25 Model: 70%
Value Draw 6.4 Model: 19%
Value Naxxar Lions 15 Model: 12%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.16 Model: 53%
No 1.72 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18 Model: 81%
Over 2.5 1.56 Model: 60%
Over 3.5 2.3 Model: 38%
Value Under 1.5 6 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 2.64 Model: 40%
Value Under 3.5 1.67 Model: 62%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.24
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Hamrun Spartans 1.57 Model: 52%
Draw 2.75 Model: 35%
Naxxar Lions 9 Model: 13%

Double Chance

Hamrun Spartans or Draw 1.01 Model: 88%
Hamrun Spartans or Naxxar Lions 1.18 Model: 81%
Draw or Naxxar Lions 2.97 Model: 30%

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5 1.04 Model: 89%
Over 1.5 1.42 Model: 66%

Naxxar Lions Goals

Over 0.5 1.75 Model: 46%
Over 1.5 4.6 Model: 17%

Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?

Over 8.5 Corners: Hamrun Spartans see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Naxxar Lions in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Hamrun Spartans or Naxxar Lions?

Hamrun Spartans hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Naxxar Lions have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions?

Mixed. Hamrun Spartans have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Naxxar Lions in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions?

Possibly. Naxxar Lions regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Hamrun Spartans are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Hamrun Spartans or Naxxar Lions?

Hamrun Spartans have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Naxxar Lions's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions?

Yes. Both Hamrun Spartans (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Naxxar Lions (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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