2. Bundesliga · Germany 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 12:00 GMT

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Holstein Kiel Home · 10th 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away · 18th 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Holstein Kiel 49% Draw 24% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Holstein Kiel have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
49% Holstein Kiel win 24% Draw 27% SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 57% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

Holstein Kiel sit 10th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 18th after 17 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Holstein Kiel have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Holstein Kiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 60% away (6/10). Holstein Kiel average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.8 and 1.5 on the road.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Holstein Kiel are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Holstein Kiel at 70% at home (7/10), SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Holstein Kiel (10th) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (18th) sit in the 2. Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Holstein Kiel H 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth A 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
View the full 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 34 21 7 6 50:31 +19 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 +25 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 +14 62
4 Hannover 96 34 16 12 6 60:44 +16 60
5 Darmstadt 98 34 13 13 8 57:45 +12 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 +5 52
7 Hertha BSC 34 14 9 11 47:44 +3 51
8 Nürnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 +2 46
9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 11 11 12 49:47 +2 44
10 Karlsruher SC 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
11 Dynamo Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 +1 41
12 Holstein Kiel H 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
13 DSC Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 +2 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth A 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
17 Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
18 Preußen Münster 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30

Team Form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Holstein Kiel have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Holstein Kiel are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

Holstein Kiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Holstein Kiel have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Holstein Kiel 1.3 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.8 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Holstein Kiel 13 scored / 14 conceded at home · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Holstein Kiel (70% Over 8.5 at home) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Holstein Kiel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Holstein Kiel — last 10 home A SpVgg Greuther Fürth — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Holstein Kiel and SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Holstein Kiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2024
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Holstein Kiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Aug 2023
Holstein Kiel
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jan 2023
Holstein Kiel
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
16 Jul 2022
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Holstein Kiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2021
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Holstein Kiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Oct 2020
Holstein Kiel
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2020
Holstein Kiel
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Greuther Fürth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Sep 2019
Greuther Fürth
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Holstein Kiel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Feb 2019
Holstein Kiel
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Greuther Fürth
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Holstein Kiel 1.75 Model: 49%
Draw 3.7 Model: 24%
Value SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4.75 Model: 27%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75 Model: 57%
No 2.1 Model: 43%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25 Model: 79%
Over 2.5 1.76 Model: 56%
Over 3.5 2.94 Model: 34%
Under 1.5 4.8 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 2.28 Model: 44%
Under 3.5 1.5 Model: 66%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.31 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 2.6

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.46 Model: 56%
Over 10.5 2.02 Model: 44%
Over 11.5 1.92 Model: 34%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Holstein Kiel 2.15 Model: 36%
Draw 2.26 Model: 37%
Value SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5.35 Model: 27%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw 1.16 Model: 73%
Holstein Kiel or SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.25 Model: 76%
Value Draw or SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.15 Model: 51%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 1.09 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 1.65 Model: 50%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goals

Over 0.5 1.52 Model: 63%
Value Over 1.5 3.48 Model: 31%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Under 3.5 Goals — Holstein Kiel have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Holstein Kiel or SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Holstein Kiel have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over SpVgg Greuther Fürth on the road (20% wins) in 2. Bundesliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Holstein Kiel and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Mixed — Holstein Kiel have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Holstein Kiel and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Uncertain — Holstein Kiel have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 60% of away games in 2. Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Holstein Kiel or SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Holstein Kiel have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to SpVgg Greuther Fürth's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Holstein Kiel and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Yes — both Holstein Kiel (70% Over 8.5 at home) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in 2. Bundesliga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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