Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Friday 3rd July, 17:00 BST

Riga vs FS Jelgava Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Riga Home 8W 2D 0L last 10 home
VS
FS Jelgava Away 1W 6D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Riga 83% Draw 11% FS Jelgava 5%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Riga vs FS Jelgava Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Riga see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
83% Riga win 11% Draw 5% FS Jelgava win 42% BTTS 68% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score
Also worth a look

Riga average 2.9 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. FS Jelgava average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Riga have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a FS Jelgava side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Riga have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home.

Riga frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). FS Jelgava are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Riga see 8+ in 60% of home games, FS Jelgava in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Riga and FS Jelgava sit in the Virsliga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Riga H 18 14 3 1 56:19 +37 45
9 FS Jelgava A 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
View the full Virsliga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 18 15 1 2 42:14 +28 46
2 Riga H 18 14 3 1 56:19 +37 45
3 Auda 18 11 2 5 34:23 +11 35
4 Liepāja 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
5 Super Nova 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
6 FC Daugavpils 18 5 5 8 20:25 -5 20
7 Tukums 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
8 Grobiņa 18 3 7 8 12:29 -17 16
9 FS Jelgava A 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
10 Ogre United 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7

Team Form

Riga have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to FS Jelgava's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Won
H
8/10 (80%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Riga frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while FS Jelgava are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Riga frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Riga have scored 2+ goals in 60% of home games this season, FS Jelgava in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Riga 2.9 scored · 1 conceded per home game FS Jelgava 0.7 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Riga 29 scored / 10 conceded at home · FS Jelgava 7 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Riga (60% Over 7.5 at home) and FS Jelgava (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Riga have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

FS Jelgava have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Riga: last 10 home A FS Jelgava: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Riga vs FS Jelgava Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Riga vs FS Jelgava?

Over 1.5 Goals: Riga see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, FS Jelgava in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Riga or FS Jelgava?

Riga hold a clear form advantage. They've won 80% of home games in Virsliga this season, while FS Jelgava have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Riga and FS Jelgava?

Mixed. Riga have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, FS Jelgava in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Virsliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Riga and FS Jelgava?

Possibly. Riga frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while FS Jelgava are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Riga or FS Jelgava?

Riga have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 60% of home games compared to FS Jelgava's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Riga and FS Jelgava?

Riga have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, FS Jelgava in 40% of away games in Virsliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 14:00 BST

Super Nova vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 12:00 BST

FS Jelgava vs Tukums

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 14:00 BST

Riga vs Liepāja

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🕒 Sunday 21st June, 16:00 BST

Rīgas FS vs Ogre United

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Monday 22nd June, 16:00 BST

Grobiņa vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Thursday 25th June, 15:00 BST

FC Daugavpils vs Riga

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Thursday 25th June, 16:00 BST

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Thursday 25th June, 18:00 BST

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