K League 2 · South Korea 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 08:30 BST

Hwaseong vs Incheon United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Hwaseong Home · 10th 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Incheon United Away · 1st 4W 4D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Hwaseong 13% Draw 24% Incheon United 63%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Hwaseong vs Incheon United Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Hwaseong see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Incheon United in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
13% Hwaseong win 24% Draw 63% Incheon United win 42% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Under 3.5 Goals

Hwaseong sit 10th in the table after 28 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Incheon United are 1st after 29 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Hwaseong have won 40% of home games, Incheon United 40% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Hwaseong have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Incheon United in 60% away (6/10). Hwaseong average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Incheon United 1.5 and 1.1 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Hwaseong in 60% of home games (6/10), Incheon United in 60% away (6/10). Hwaseong have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Incheon United in 90% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Hwaseong see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Incheon United in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Hwaseong (10th) and Incheon United (1st) sit in the K League 2 table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Incheon United A 39 23 9 7 66:30 +36 78
10 Hwaseong H 39 10 12 17 37:50 -13 42
View the full K League 2 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Incheon United A 39 23 9 7 66:30 +36 78
2 Suwon Bluewings 39 20 12 7 76:50 +26 72
3 Seongnam 41 18 14 9 47:32 +15 68
4 Bucheon 1995 40 19 11 10 59:49 +10 68
5 Seoul E. 40 17 14 9 64:44 +20 65
6 Jeonnam Dragons 39 17 11 11 63:52 +11 62
7 Gimpo 39 14 13 12 48:37 +11 55
8 Busan I'Park 39 14 13 12 47:46 +1 55
9 Chungnam Asan 39 13 13 13 51:48 +3 52
10 Hwaseong H 39 10 12 17 37:50 -13 42
11 Gyeongnam 39 11 7 21 34:58 -24 40
12 Cheongju 39 7 10 22 30:62 -32 31
13 Cheonan City 39 7 9 23 41:70 -29 30
14 Ansan Greeners 39 5 12 22 25:60 -35 27

Team Form

Hwaseong (40% home wins) and Incheon United (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Hwaseong have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Incheon United in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Hwaseong have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Incheon United in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Hwaseong have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Incheon United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Hwaseong 1.5 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Incheon United 1.5 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Hwaseong 15 scored / 12 conceded at home · Incheon United 15 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Hwaseong (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Incheon United (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Hwaseong have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Incheon United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Hwaseong: last 10 home A Incheon United: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Hwaseong and Incheon United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21st Jun, 2025
Incheon United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Hwaseong
Corners 2–1 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Apr, 2025
Hwaseong
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Incheon United
Corners 4–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Hwaseong vs Incheon United across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Hwaseong 5 Model: 13%
Draw 3.92 Model: 24%
Value Incheon United 1.65 Model: 63%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 42%
No 1.71 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 67%
Over 2.5 2.07 Model: 42%
Over 3.5 3.79 Model: 20%
Under 1.5 3.16 Model: 33%
Under 2.5 1.72 Model: 58%
Under 3.5 1.27 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.14

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.43 Model: 41%
Over 9.5 1.96 Model: 31%
Over 10.5 3.16 Model: 22%
Over 11.5 3.33 Model: 15%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Hwaseong 5.98 Model: 12%
Draw 2.06 Model: 40%
Value Incheon United 2.25 Model: 48%

Double Chance

Hwaseong or Draw 2.2 Model: 37%
Hwaseong or Incheon United 1.24 Model: 76%
Draw or Incheon United 1.12 Model: 87%

Hwaseong Goals

Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 45%
Over 1.5 4 Model: 12%

Incheon United Goals

Over 0.5 1.17 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 1.89 Model: 50%
Over 2.5 3.6

Hwaseong vs Incheon United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Incheon United?

Over 1.5 Goals: Hwaseong see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Incheon United in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Hwaseong or Incheon United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Hwaseong have won 40% of home games, Incheon United 40% away in K League 2. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Hwaseong and Incheon United?

Mixed. Hwaseong have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Incheon United in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this K League 2 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Hwaseong and Incheon United?

Uncertain. Hwaseong have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Incheon United in 60% of away games in K League 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Hwaseong or Incheon United?

Incheon United have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Hwaseong's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Hwaseong and Incheon United?

Unlikely. Hwaseong (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Incheon United (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in K League 2.

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