Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 23:00 BST

LDU Quito vs Orense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

LDU Quito Home · 6th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Orense Away · 7th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
LDU Quito 67% Draw 21% Orense 12%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

LDU Quito vs Orense Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Orense in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
67% LDU Quito win 21% Draw 12% Orense win 45% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Over 1.5 Goals

LDU Quito sit 6th in the table after 12 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Orense are 7th after 13 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. LDU Quito have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Orense side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Orense in 60% away (6/10). LDU Quito average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Orense 1.2 and 1.4 on the road.

Orense regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). LDU Quito are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. LDU Quito see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Orense in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where LDU Quito (6th) and Orense (7th) sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 LDU Quito H 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense A 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito H 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense A 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

LDU Quito hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Orense have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Orense regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while LDU Quito are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Orense in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

LDU Quito have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Orense in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

LDU Quito 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Orense 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: LDU Quito 12 scored / 8 conceded at home · Orense 12 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

LDU Quito have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Orense in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

LDU Quito have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Orense have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Orense: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between LDU Quito and Orense. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Feb 2026
Orense
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
LDU Quito
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Dec 2025
Orense
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
LDU Quito
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Nov 2025
LDU Quito
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Orense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jun 2025
Orense
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
LDU Quito
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 Mar 2025
LDU Quito
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
Orense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Oct 2024
LDU Quito
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Orense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Apr 2024
Orense
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
LDU Quito
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Sep 2023
LDU Quito
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Orense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Apr 2023
Orense
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
LDU Quito
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Sep 2022
LDU Quito
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Orense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for LDU Quito vs Orense across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

LDU Quito 1.45 Model: 67%
Draw 4 Model: 21%
Orense 7 Model: 12%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83 Model: 45%
No 1.83 Model: 55%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3 Model: 75%
Over 2.5 1.94 Model: 49%
Over 3.5 3.32 Model: 27%
Under 1.5 4.03 Model: 25%
Under 2.5 2.03 Model: 51%
Under 3.5 1.39 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.34 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.12 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.31 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 1.9 Model: 37%
Over 11.5 2.01 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

LDU Quito 1.94 Model: 45%
Draw 2.47 Model: 42%
Orense 6.2 Model: 13%

Double Chance

LDU Quito or Draw 1.11 Model: 88%
LDU Quito or Orense 1.19 Model: 79%
Draw or Orense 2.55 Model: 33%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 1.06 Model: 86%
Over 1.5 1.55 Model: 58%

Orense Goals

Over 0.5 1.67 Model: 46%
Over 1.5 4 Model: 14%

LDU Quito vs Orense Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for LDU Quito vs Orense?

Under 3.5 Goals: LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Orense in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, LDU Quito or Orense?

LDU Quito hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Orense have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between LDU Quito and Orense?

Possibly. Orense regularly see both teams score away (70%), while LDU Quito are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between LDU Quito and Orense?

Uncertain. LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Orense in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: LDU Quito or Orense?

Orense have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to LDU Quito's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between LDU Quito and Orense?

LDU Quito have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Orense in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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