Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 22nd July, 01:00 BST

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Leones del Norte Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Guayaquil City Away 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Leones del Norte 45% Draw 30% Guayaquil City 25%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Guayaquil City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
45% Leones del Norte win 30% Draw 25% Guayaquil City win 43% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Under 3.5 Goals

Leones del Norte average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Guayaquil City average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Leones del Norte have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Guayaquil City have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Leones del Norte have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Guayaquil City in 40% away. Leones del Norte average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Guayaquil City 0.9 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Leones del Norte have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Guayaquil City in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Leones del Norte see 8+ in 80% of home games, Guayaquil City in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Leones del Norte H 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
13 Guayaquil City A 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 Barcelona Guayaquil 17 8 5 4 20:13 +7 29
3 LDU Quito 17 8 3 6 19:14 +5 27
4 Deportivo Cuenca 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
5 Universidad Católica 17 7 5 5 28:17 +11 26
6 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Técnico Universitario 17 7 2 8 19:17 +2 23
8 Macará 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
9 Emelec 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 23
10 Orense 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
11 Mushuc Runa 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
12 Leones del Norte H 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
13 Guayaquil City A 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
14 Delfin 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
15 Libertad 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

Guayaquil City have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Leones del Norte have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leones del Norte (40% BTTS at home) and Guayaquil City (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Leones del Norte have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Leones del Norte have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Guayaquil City in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Leones del Norte 1.2 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Guayaquil City 0.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Leones del Norte 12 scored / 7 conceded at home · Guayaquil City 9 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Leones del Norte (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Guayaquil City (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Guayaquil City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Guayaquil City: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City?

Under 2.5 Goals: Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Guayaquil City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Leones del Norte or Guayaquil City?

Leones del Norte have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Guayaquil City on the road (30% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City?

Unlikely. Leones del Norte (40% BTTS at home) and Guayaquil City (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Pro. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City?

Uncertain. Leones del Norte have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Guayaquil City in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leones del Norte or Guayaquil City?

Leones del Norte have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Guayaquil City's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City?

Leones del Norte have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Guayaquil City in 20% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

LDU Quito vs Libertad

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

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Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil

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Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica

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Guayaquil City vs Delfin

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Técnico Universitario vs Macará

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🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

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Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas

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Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle

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🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

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Manta vs Orense

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🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

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