La Liga · Spain 🕒 Sunday 19th October, 17:30 BST

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Levante Home · 13th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Rayo Vallecano Away · 14th 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Levante 32% Draw 25% Rayo Vallecano 44%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Levante have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
32% Levante win 25% Draw 44% Rayo Vallecano win 57% BTTS 54% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Over 1.5 Goals 69% Under 3.5 Goals

Levante sit 13th in the table after 7 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Rayo Vallecano are 14th after 7 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Levante have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Rayo Vallecano side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Levante have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Rayo Vallecano in 40% away. Levante average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Rayo Vallecano 1.1 and 1.2 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Levante at 30% in home games (3/10), Rayo Vallecano at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Levante see 8+ in 60% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Levante (13th) and Rayo Vallecano (14th) sit in the La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 Rayo Vallecano A 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
18 Levante H 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
View the full La Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 +26 72
4 Atlético de Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 +11 60
6 Celta de Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 +5 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
8 Rayo Vallecano A 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
14 Deportivo Alavés 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
15 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
18 Levante H 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29

Team Form

Levante hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Rayo Vallecano have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Levante have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

Levante have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Levante have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Rayo Vallecano in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Levante 1.5 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Rayo Vallecano 1.1 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Levante 15 scored / 8 conceded at home · Rayo Vallecano 11 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Levante (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Rayo Vallecano (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Levante have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Rayo Vallecano have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Levante: last 10 home A Rayo Vallecano: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Levante and Rayo Vallecano. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20th May, 2022
Rayo Vallecano
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Levante
Corners 7–3 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Sep, 2021
Levante
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Corners 2–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th May, 2019
Levante
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Corners 6–7 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Dec, 2018
Rayo Vallecano
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Levante
Corners 3–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
6th May, 2017
Rayo Vallecano
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Levante
Corners 6–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Dec, 2016
Levante
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th May, 2016
Rayo Vallecano
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Levante
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jan, 2016
Levante
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Feb, 2015
Rayo Vallecano
4 – 2 HT: 4-1
Levante
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Sep, 2014
Levante
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Levante vs Rayo Vallecano across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Levante 2.76 Model: 32%
Draw 3.33 Model: 25%
Value Rayo Vallecano 2.88 Model: 44%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7 Model: 57%
No 2.18 Model: 43%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.37 Model: 77%
Value Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 54%
Over 3.5 3.4 Model: 31%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 23%
Under 2.5 1.89 Model: 46%
Under 3.5 1.33 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.94

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.5 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 1.82 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.3 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Levante 3.25 Model: 24%
Draw 2.27 Model: 41%
Value Rayo Vallecano 3.41 Model: 35%

Double Chance

Levante or Draw 1.44 Model: 56%
Value Levante or Rayo Vallecano 1.37 Model: 75%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano 1.49 Model: 68%

Levante Goals

Over 0.5 1.31 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.55 Model: 34%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 1.29 Model: 76%
Value Over 1.5 2.61 Model: 44%

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Levante vs Rayo Vallecano?

Under 2.5 Goals: Levante have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Levante or Rayo Vallecano?

Levante hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in La Liga this season, while Rayo Vallecano have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Levante and Rayo Vallecano?

Mixed. Levante have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this La Liga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Levante and Rayo Vallecano?

Uncertain. Levante have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 40% of away games in La Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Levante or Rayo Vallecano?

Levante have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Rayo Vallecano's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Levante and Rayo Vallecano?

Levante have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Rayo Vallecano in 50% of away games in La Liga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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