Esiliiga A · Estonia 🕒 Monday 13th July, 17:00 BST

Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Maardu Home 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Tartu Welco Away 7W 0D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Maardu 28% Draw 21% Tartu Welco 51%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Maardu see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tartu Welco in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
28% Maardu win 21% Draw 51% Tartu Welco win 65% BTTS 66% Over 2.5 Goals 1-2 most likely score
Also worth a look

Maardu average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Tartu Welco average 2.3 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Tartu Welco carry the better away form into this fixture (7/10, 70%), while Maardu have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Maardu in 80% of home games, Tartu Welco in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Maardu frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Tartu Welco are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 80% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Maardu see 8+ in 100% of home games, Tartu Welco in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Maardu and Tartu Welco sit in the Esiliiga A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Tartu Welco A 17 13 2 2 52:21 +31 41
6 Maardu H 16 5 4 7 20:33 -13 19
View the full Esiliiga A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Tartu Welco A 17 13 2 2 52:21 +31 41
2 Viimsi 16 9 3 4 26:12 +14 30
3 Flora II 14 9 2 3 39:24 +15 29
4 Elva 17 7 2 8 29:30 -1 23
5 Tallinna Kalev 17 6 3 8 32:33 -1 21
6 Maardu H 16 5 4 7 20:33 -13 19
7 Levadia II 17 6 0 11 30:33 -3 18
8 Nõmme United II 15 5 3 7 28:34 -6 18
9 Nõmme Kalju U21 16 5 2 9 26:40 -14 17
10 FC Tallinn 17 3 5 9 21:43 -22 14

Team Form

Tartu Welco have shown strong away form this season (70% wins), while Maardu have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Maardu frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tartu Welco are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 65% · BTTS No 35%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Maardu 80% at home, Tartu Welco 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Maardu have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tartu Welco in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Maardu 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Tartu Welco 2.3 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Maardu 14 scored / 12 conceded at home · Tartu Welco 23 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Maardu regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tartu Welco are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Maardu have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Tartu Welco have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Maardu: last 10 home A Tartu Welco: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Maardu vs Tartu Welco?

Over 8.5 Corners: Maardu see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tartu Welco in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Maardu or Tartu Welco?

Tartu Welco hold a slight form advantage away (70% wins) over Maardu at home (50% wins) in Esiliiga A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Maardu and Tartu Welco?

Mixed. Maardu have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tartu Welco in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Esiliiga A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Maardu and Tartu Welco?

Uncertain. Maardu have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tartu Welco in 50% of away games in Esiliiga A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Maardu or Tartu Welco?

Tartu Welco have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Maardu's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Maardu and Tartu Welco?

Possibly. Maardu regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tartu Welco are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Tartu Welco vs Viimsi

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Thursday 2nd July, 17:00 BST

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Friday 3rd July, 18:30 BST

FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Saturday 4th July, 13:00 BST

Nõmme Kalju U21 vs Elva

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 13:00 BST

Flora II vs Levadia II

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 13:00 BST

Maardu vs Flora II

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Wednesday 8th July, 17:00 BST

FC Tallinn vs Elva

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Saturday 11th July, 17:00 BST

Viimsi vs Nõmme Kalju U21

📍 Esiliiga A, Estonia

🕒 Saturday 11th July, 17:00 BST

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