Eerste Divisie · Netherlands 🕒 Friday 6th February, 19:00 GMT

MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

MVV Maastricht Home · 15th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Jong PSV Away · 3rd 4W 0D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 50% Draw 21% Jong PSV 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

MVV Maastricht have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Jong PSV in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
50% MVV Maastricht win 21% Draw 29% Jong PSV win 68% BTTS 71% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
89% Over 1.5 Goals 68% BTTS – Yes 67% Over 8.5 Corners

MVV Maastricht sit 15th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Jong PSV are 3rd after 21 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 2 conceded on the road. MVV Maastricht have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Jong PSV have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

MVV Maastricht have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Jong PSV are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 2 conceded away from home.

MVV Maastricht frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Jong PSV are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — MVV Maastricht at 70% at home (7/10), Jong PSV at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where MVV Maastricht (15th) and Jong PSV (3rd) sit in the Eerste Divisie table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 Jong PSV A 38 17 5 16 66:64 +2 56
19 MVV Maastricht H 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
View the full Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 ADO Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 +53 89
2 SC Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 +27 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 +17 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 +16 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 +15 58
6 RKC Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 +12 58
7 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 +9 56
8 Jong PSV A 38 17 5 16 66:64 +2 56
9 Roda JC Kerkrade 38 14 13 11 59:54 +5 55
10 FC Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
11 FC Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
12 FC Eindhoven 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
13 Jong FC Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
14 VVV-Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
15 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
17 Jong AZ 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
19 MVV Maastricht H 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35

Team Form

Jong PSV have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while MVV Maastricht have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

MVV Maastricht frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Jong PSV are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 68% · BTTS No 32%

Match Goals

MVV Maastricht frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Jong PSV are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

MVV Maastricht have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Jong PSV in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

MVV Maastricht 1.3 scored · 1.9 conceded per home game Jong PSV 1.4 scored · 2 conceded per away game
H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: MVV Maastricht 13 scored / 19 conceded at home · Jong PSV 14 scored / 20 conceded away

Match Corners

Both MVV Maastricht (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Jong PSV (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

MVV Maastricht have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Jong PSV have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H MVV Maastricht — last 10 home A Jong PSV — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between MVV Maastricht and Jong PSV. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Sep 2025
Jong PSV
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Apr 2025
Jong PSV
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2024
MVV Maastricht
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
Jong PSV
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2024
MVV Maastricht
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Jong PSV
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
06 Oct 2023
Jong PSV
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2023
Jong PSV
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Oct 2022
MVV Maastricht
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Jong PSV
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Apr 2022
Jong PSV
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2021
MVV Maastricht
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Jong PSV
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2021
Jong PSV
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
MVV Maastricht
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value MVV Maastricht 2.9 Model: 50%
Draw 4 Model: 21%
Jong PSV 2.36 Model: 29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.38 Model: 68%
Value No 3.4 Model: 32%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.1 Model: 89%
Over 2.5 1.38 Model: 71%
Over 3.5 1.9 Model: 51%
Under 1.5 9.8 Model: 11%
Under 2.5 3.56 Model: 29%
Under 3.5 2.09 Model: 49%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 87%
Over 1.5 1.94

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.32 Model: 56%
Over 10.5 1.53 Model: 45%
Over 11.5 2.01 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value MVV Maastricht 3.37 Model: 37%
Draw 2.6 Model: 35%
Jong PSV 2.54 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Value MVV Maastricht or Draw 1.7 Model: 71%
MVV Maastricht or Jong PSV 1.25 Model: 79%
Draw or Jong PSV 1.39 Model: 50%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 1.17 Model: 83%
Value Over 1.5 1.89 Model: 58%

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5 1.09 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 1.55 Model: 40%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV?

Over 2.5 Goals — MVV Maastricht have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Jong PSV in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, MVV Maastricht or Jong PSV?

Jong PSV hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over MVV Maastricht at home (30% wins) in Eerste Divisie. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between MVV Maastricht and Jong PSV?

Possibly — MVV Maastricht frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Jong PSV are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between MVV Maastricht and Jong PSV?

Possibly — MVV Maastricht frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Jong PSV are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: MVV Maastricht or Jong PSV?

Jong PSV have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to MVV Maastricht's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between MVV Maastricht and Jong PSV?

Yes — both MVV Maastricht (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Jong PSV (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Eerste Divisie. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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