USL League One · United States 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 00:30 BST

Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Naples Home 4W 1D 5L last 10 home

VS

Portland Hearts of Pine Away 1W 3D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Naples 52% Draw 25% Portland Hearts of Pine 22%

⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Naples at 20% BTTS in home games and Portland Hearts of Pine at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says

52% Naples win 25% Draw 22% Portland Hearts of Pine win 52% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

75% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

Naples average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Portland Hearts of Pine average 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded in away fixtures. Naples have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Portland Hearts of Pine have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Portland Hearts of Pine have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Naples are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Portland Hearts of Pine regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Naples are lower at home (20%, 2/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Naples see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Portland Hearts of Pine in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine sit in the USL League One table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
9	Naples H	15	5	2	8	16:23	-7	17
13	Portland Hearts of Pine A	13	3	5	5	16:21	-5	14

View the full USL League One 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	15	9	1	5	22:17	+5	28
2	One Knoxville	13	8	3	2	24:11	+13	27
3	Charlotte Independence	12	8	2	2	31:16	+15	26
4	Alta	13	6	5	2	21:14	+7	23
5	Fort Wayne	13	5	6	2	17:12	+5	21
6	Athletic Club Boise	14	6	3	5	21:21	0	21
7	Forward Madison	12	6	2	4	21:14	+7	20
8	Spokane Velocity	12	6	2	4	15:16	-1	20
9	Naples H	15	5	2	8	16:23	-7	17
10	Chattanooga Red Wolves	10	5	1	4	19:13	+6	16
11	Sarasota Paradise	16	5	1	10	17:28	-11	16
12	Westchester SC	12	4	2	6	22:18	+4	14
13	Portland Hearts of Pine A	13	3	5	5	16:21	-5	14
14	Corpus Christi	13	3	5	5	17:23	-6	14
15	Richmond Kickers	12	3	2	7	11:19	-8	11
16	Greenville Triumph	11	3	1	7	11:21	-10	10
17	NY Cosmos	12	2	1	9	16:30	-14	7
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Team Form

Portland Hearts of Pine have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Naples have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Portland Hearts of Pine regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Naples are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Portland Hearts of Pine regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Naples are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

Naples have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Portland Hearts of Pine in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Naples 0.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Portland Hearts of Pine 1.1 scored · 2.3 conceded per away game

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Naples 9 scored / 13 conceded at home · Portland Hearts of Pine 11 scored / 23 conceded away

Match Corners

Naples have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Portland Hearts of Pine in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Naples win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Portland Hearts of Pine have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Naples: last 10 home A Portland Hearts of Pine: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Naples at 20% BTTS in home games and Portland Hearts of Pine at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Naples or Portland Hearts of Pine?

Naples have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Portland Hearts of Pine on the road (10% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine?

Mixed. Naples have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Portland Hearts of Pine in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL League One fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine?

Possibly. Portland Hearts of Pine regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Naples are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Naples or Portland Hearts of Pine?

Portland Hearts of Pine have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Naples's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine?

Naples have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Portland Hearts of Pine in 30% of away games in USL League One. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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