Champions League · Europe 🕒 Tuesday 21st October, 20:00 BST

Newcastle United vs Benfica Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Newcastle United Home · 11th 4W 1D 5L last 10 home
VS
Benfica Away · 33rd 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Newcastle United 36% Draw 24% Benfica 40%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Newcastle United vs Benfica Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Newcastle United see both teams score in 100% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
36% Newcastle United win 24% Draw 40% Benfica win 56% BTTS 55% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Under 3.5 Goals

Newcastle United sit 11th in the table, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Benfica are 33th after 4 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Newcastle United have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Benfica have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. Newcastle United have seen 3+ goals in 90% of home fixtures this season (9/10), and Benfica in 70% of away games (7/10). Newcastle United average 1.9 scored and 1.9 conceded at home; Benfica 1.5 and 1.2 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Newcastle United in 100% of home games (10/10), Benfica in 80% away (8/10). Newcastle United have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Benfica in 80% of away games.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season. Newcastle United have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Benfica in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

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League Table

Where Newcastle United (11th) and Benfica (33rd) sit in the Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
11 Newcastle United H 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
16 Benfica A 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
View the full Champions League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 11 4 0 30:7 +23 37
2 Paris Saint Germain 17 10 5 2 45:23 +22 35
3 FC Bayern München 14 11 1 2 43:20 +23 34
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético de Madrid 16 7 3 6 35:28 +7 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United H 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
15 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
16 Benfica A 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
21 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
27 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
30 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
39 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
40 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
43 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
44 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
45 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
46 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
47 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
48 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
52 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
53 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
54 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
55 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
56 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
57 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
58 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
59 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
60 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
61 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
62 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
66 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
67 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
68 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
70 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
71 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
74 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
75 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
76 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
77 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
78 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
79 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
80 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
81 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
82 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0

Team Form

Newcastle United have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Benfica have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Newcastle United have seen both teams score in 100% of home games this season, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 56% · BTTS No 44%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of Newcastle United's home games and 70% of Benfica's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Newcastle United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Benfica in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Newcastle United 1.9 scored · 1.9 conceded per home game Benfica 1.5 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Newcastle United 19 scored / 19 conceded at home · Benfica 15 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Newcastle United (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Benfica (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Newcastle United win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Benfica win 6+ corners in 80% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Newcastle United: last 10 home A Benfica: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Newcastle United and Benfica. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26th Jul, 2022
Benfica
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Newcastle United
Corners 4–2 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Apr, 2013
Newcastle United
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Benfica
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Apr, 2013
Benfica
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Newcastle United
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Newcastle United vs Benfica across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Newcastle United 1.7 Model: 36%
Draw 4.24 Model: 24%
Value Benfica 5.8 Model: 40%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.78 Model: 56%
No 2.04 Model: 44%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 78%
Over 2.5 1.85 Model: 55%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 32%
Under 1.5 4.33 Model: 22%
Under 2.5 2.09 Model: 45%
Under 3.5 1.44 Model: 68%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.71

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.52 Model: 44%
Over 10.5 1.86 Model: 34%
Over 11.5 2.35 Model: 25%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Newcastle United 2.17 Model: 28%
Draw 2.3 Model: 43%
Value Benfica 5.37 Model: 29%

Double Chance

Newcastle United or Draw 1.2 Model: 60%
Newcastle United or Benfica 1.27 Model: 76%
Value Draw or Benfica 2.28 Model: 64%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.12 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 1.7 Model: 38%

Benfica Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.55 Model: 73%
Value Over 1.5 3.6 Model: 41%

Newcastle United vs Benfica Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Newcastle United vs Benfica?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: Newcastle United see both teams score in 100% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Newcastle United or Benfica?

Benfica hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Newcastle United at home (40% wins) in Champions League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Newcastle United and Benfica?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Newcastle United have seen BTTS in 100% of home games, Benfica in 80% of away games in Champions League. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Newcastle United and Benfica?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of Newcastle United's home games and 70% of Benfica's away games in Champions League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Newcastle United or Benfica?

Newcastle United have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Benfica's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Newcastle United and Benfica?

Yes. Both Newcastle United (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Benfica (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Champions League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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